DOGE/ETH Asset Valuation

LAST UPDATE: 2026-06-12 02:17 UTC | 23-WEEK HORIZON

68% Bear Target

Ξ 0.000029

23-Week Base Target

Ξ 0.000056

68% Bull Target

Ξ 0.000098

SARIMAX Forecasting Methodology

This analysis provides a projection of DOGE's valuation against Ethereum (ETH) using a Seasonal ARIMA model combined with a Box-Cox transformation to normalize historical volatility.

  • Bear Case: The lower bound of the confidence interval, representing a pessimistic rotation out of the asset and into ETH.
  • Base Case: The mathematical mean trajectory projected by the algorithm.
  • Bull Case: The upper bound of the confidence interval, representing an optimistic outperformance against ETH.

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%. This acts as a mathematical cone illustrating the probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull bounds over the next 23 weeks.

NOT FINANCIAL ADVICE. FOR EDUCATIONAL PURPOSES ONLY.

Raw Data Matrix (ETH)

Date Bear 99.7% Bear 95% Bear 68% Base Bull 68% Bull 95% Bull 99.7%
2026-06-21 Ξ 0.000036 Ξ 0.000041 Ξ 0.000046 Ξ 0.000051 Ξ 0.000057 Ξ 0.000063 Ξ 0.000069
2026-06-28 Ξ 0.000031 Ξ 0.000037 Ξ 0.000044 Ξ 0.000052 Ξ 0.000062 Ξ 0.000072 Ξ 0.000084
2026-07-05 Ξ 0.000026 Ξ 0.000034 Ξ 0.000042 Ξ 0.000052 Ξ 0.000064 Ξ 0.000078 Ξ 0.000093
2026-07-12 Ξ 0.000023 Ξ 0.000031 Ξ 0.000041 Ξ 0.000053 Ξ 0.000067 Ξ 0.000083 Ξ 0.000103
2026-07-19 Ξ 0.000021 Ξ 0.000029 Ξ 0.000039 Ξ 0.000052 Ξ 0.000068 Ξ 0.000086 Ξ 0.000109
2026-07-26 Ξ 0.000018 Ξ 0.000027 Ξ 0.000037 Ξ 0.000051 Ξ 0.000069 Ξ 0.000090 Ξ 0.000116
2026-08-02 Ξ 0.000017 Ξ 0.000025 Ξ 0.000037 Ξ 0.000051 Ξ 0.000071 Ξ 0.000094 Ξ 0.000123
2026-08-09 Ξ 0.000016 Ξ 0.000025 Ξ 0.000037 Ξ 0.000053 Ξ 0.000074 Ξ 0.000100 Ξ 0.000133
2026-08-16 Ξ 0.000014 Ξ 0.000024 Ξ 0.000036 Ξ 0.000053 Ξ 0.000076 Ξ 0.000104 Ξ 0.000140
2026-08-23 Ξ 0.000014 Ξ 0.000023 Ξ 0.000036 Ξ 0.000054 Ξ 0.000079 Ξ 0.000109 Ξ 0.000150
2026-08-30 Ξ 0.000012 Ξ 0.000021 Ξ 0.000035 Ξ 0.000053 Ξ 0.000079 Ξ 0.000111 Ξ 0.000155
2026-09-06 Ξ 0.000011 Ξ 0.000021 Ξ 0.000034 Ξ 0.000054 Ξ 0.000081 Ξ 0.000116 Ξ 0.000162
2026-09-13 Ξ 0.000010 Ξ 0.000020 Ξ 0.000033 Ξ 0.000054 Ξ 0.000082 Ξ 0.000118 Ξ 0.000168
2026-09-20 Ξ 0.000010 Ξ 0.000019 Ξ 0.000033 Ξ 0.000055 Ξ 0.000085 Ξ 0.000124 Ξ 0.000178
2026-09-27 Ξ 0.000009 Ξ 0.000019 Ξ 0.000033 Ξ 0.000055 Ξ 0.000086 Ξ 0.000128 Ξ 0.000186
2026-10-04 Ξ 0.000009 Ξ 0.000018 Ξ 0.000033 Ξ 0.000055 Ξ 0.000088 Ξ 0.000132 Ξ 0.000193
2026-10-11 Ξ 0.000008 Ξ 0.000017 Ξ 0.000031 Ξ 0.000055 Ξ 0.000088 Ξ 0.000134 Ξ 0.000198
2026-10-18 Ξ 0.000007 Ξ 0.000016 Ξ 0.000030 Ξ 0.000054 Ξ 0.000089 Ξ 0.000136 Ξ 0.000203
2026-10-25 Ξ 0.000006 Ξ 0.000015 Ξ 0.000030 Ξ 0.000054 Ξ 0.000090 Ξ 0.000140 Ξ 0.000210
2026-11-01 Ξ 0.000006 Ξ 0.000015 Ξ 0.000030 Ξ 0.000055 Ξ 0.000093 Ξ 0.000146 Ξ 0.000220
2026-11-08 Ξ 0.000006 Ξ 0.000015 Ξ 0.000030 Ξ 0.000056 Ξ 0.000095 Ξ 0.000149 Ξ 0.000228
2026-11-15 Ξ 0.000006 Ξ 0.000015 Ξ 0.000030 Ξ 0.000057 Ξ 0.000098 Ξ 0.000155 Ξ 0.000238
2026-11-22 Ξ 0.000005 Ξ 0.000014 Ξ 0.000029 Ξ 0.000056 Ξ 0.000098 Ξ 0.000157 Ξ 0.000242