Dell Tech price forecast: what the model says

DELL SARIMAX Forecast: Bear / Base / Bull Scenario Ladder

Current Spot

$352.51

Base Path by May 16, 2027

$544.21

Bear 68%

$287.19

Bull 68%

$1,250.62

68% Range Width

177.0%

Raw Forecast Scenario Matrix

Date Bear 99.7% Bear 95% Bear 68% Base Bull 68% Bull 95% Bull 99.7%
2026-11-22 $274.65 $300.53 $328.52 $361.21 $398.47 $439.85 $489.52
2026-11-29 $239.53 $275.31 $316.77 $368.89 $433.39 $511.64 $615.33
2026-12-06 $231.73 $274.54 $326.30 $394.55 $483.78 $598.87 $762.67
2026-12-13 $218.05 $264.95 $323.76 $404.56 $515.47 $666.78 $897.23
2026-12-20 $206.13 $255.53 $319.27 $409.86 $539.33 $724.64 $1,024.20
2026-12-27 $197.51 $249.42 $318.24 $419.21 $569.28 $794.52 $1,181.51
2027-01-03 $190.56 $244.70 $318.24 $429.36 $600.69 $869.84 $1,361.01
2027-01-10 $177.78 $230.96 $304.45 $417.84 $597.38 $889.04 $1,446.13
2027-01-17 $166.92 $219.14 $292.43 $407.69 $594.73 $908.30 $1,534.04
2027-01-24 $163.39 $217.42 $294.78 $419.53 $628.67 $994.57 $1,770.40
2027-01-31 $156.54 $210.43 $288.76 $417.51 $638.86 $1,039.34 $1,931.25
2027-02-07 $154.45 $210.23 $292.87 $432.01 $679.03 $1,145.92 $2,256.39
2027-02-14 $147.54 $202.97 $286.41 $429.85 $691.76 $1,206.40 $2,506.58
2027-02-21 $145.06 $202.35 $290.42 $446.04 $741.17 $1,353.05 $3,038.22
2027-02-28 $145.63 $206.31 $301.86 $476.06 $821.38 $1,584.95 $3,929.03
2027-03-07 $142.97 $205.02 $304.54 $490.60 $872.88 $1,764.80 $4,776.23
2027-03-14 $139.02 $201.35 $302.88 $496.74 $907.42 $1,911.67 $5,610.20
2027-03-21 $136.41 $199.69 $304.51 $509.26 $957.93 $2,114.85 $6,837.06
2027-03-28 $134.03 $198.25 $306.36 $522.32 $1,011.83 $2,344.56 $8,422.57
2027-04-04 $127.56 $189.60 $294.85 $507.38 $997.08 $2,366.70 $8,980.53
2027-04-11 $121.77 $181.86 $284.56 $494.15 $984.89 $2,394.74 $9,613.36
2027-04-18 $120.46 $181.67 $287.92 $509.57 $1,046.57 $2,681.16 $12,233.78
2027-04-25 $116.73 $177.13 $282.99 $506.93 $1,061.42 $2,814.47 $14,039.75
2027-05-02 $116.03 $177.81 $287.81 $525.84 $1,136.97 $3,197.49 $18,757.70
2027-05-09 $112.09 $172.93 $282.40 $523.02 $1,156.54 $3,392.87 $22,551.30
2027-05-16 $111.09 $173.27 $287.19 $544.21 $1,250.62 $3,954.10 $33,456.88

SARIMAX Forecasting Methodology

The forecast engine resamples daily prices into weekly structure, stabilizes variance through Box-Cox transformation, fits a SARIMAX trend model, then converts the forecast and confidence intervals back into price space. The log-scale y-axis uses a fixed clean tick ladder so the chart reads consistently across low-priced and high-priced equities.

The 68% band is the primary operating range; the 95% and 99.7% bands are wider stress envelopes for unusually strong regime outcomes.