Core Scientific price forecast: what the model says

CORZ SARIMAX Forecast: Bear / Base / Bull Scenario Ladder

Current Spot

$12.57

Base Path by May 16, 2027

$13.74

Bear 68%

$5.60

Bull 68%

$22.58

68% Range Width

123.5%

Raw Forecast Scenario Matrix

Date Bear 99.7% Bear 95% Bear 68% Base Bull 68% Bull 95% Bull 99.7%
2026-11-22 $8.65 $9.96 $11.24 $12.57 $13.92 $15.25 $16.66
2026-11-29 $6.73 $8.59 $10.41 $12.34 $14.31 $16.25 $18.31
2026-12-06 $5.33 $7.61 $9.87 $12.27 $14.74 $17.18 $19.78
2026-12-13 $4.64 $7.28 $9.93 $12.77 $15.68 $18.58 $21.66
2026-12-20 $3.82 $6.78 $9.77 $12.99 $16.30 $19.61 $23.13
2026-12-27 $3.25 $6.49 $9.80 $13.37 $17.06 $20.75 $24.69
2027-01-03 $2.45 $5.91 $9.49 $13.38 $17.42 $21.46 $25.78
2027-01-10 $1.17 $4.72 $8.51 $12.66 $17.00 $21.34 $26.00
2027-01-17 $0.5452 $4.20 $8.22 $12.65 $17.28 $21.93 $26.93
2027-01-24 $0.1058 $3.83 $8.07 $12.76 $17.69 $22.64 $27.96
2027-01-31 N/A $3.39 $7.82 $12.76 $17.96 $23.20 $28.83
2027-02-07 N/A $3.17 $7.81 $13.00 $18.47 $23.99 $29.93
2027-02-14 N/A $2.81 $7.64 $13.09 $18.86 $24.67 $30.94
2027-02-21 N/A $2.26 $7.25 $12.94 $18.97 $25.06 $31.63
2027-02-28 N/A $1.85 $7.00 $12.92 $19.21 $25.59 $32.46
2027-03-07 N/A $1.90 $7.28 $13.46 $20.03 $26.70 $33.88
2027-03-14 N/A $1.73 $7.29 $13.71 $20.55 $27.48 $34.95
2027-03-21 N/A $1.70 $7.46 $14.12 $21.22 $28.41 $36.18
2027-03-28 N/A $1.39 $7.28 $14.15 $21.48 $28.93 $36.96
2027-04-04 N/A $0.5825 $6.43 $13.44 $20.96 $28.61 $36.88
2027-04-11 N/A $0.3112 $6.24 $13.43 $21.17 $29.05 $37.58
2027-04-18 N/A $0.1461 $6.17 $13.55 $21.52 $29.63 $38.41
2027-04-25 N/A N/A $5.99 $13.56 $21.73 $30.07 $39.09
2027-05-02 N/A N/A $6.03 $13.80 $22.20 $30.77 $40.04
2027-05-09 N/A N/A $5.93 $13.90 $22.53 $31.34 $40.88
2027-05-16 N/A N/A $5.60 $13.74 $22.58 $31.62 $41.41

SARIMAX Forecasting Methodology

The forecast engine resamples daily prices into weekly structure, stabilizes variance through Box-Cox transformation, fits a SARIMAX trend model, then converts the forecast and confidence intervals back into price space. The log-scale y-axis uses a fixed clean tick ladder so the chart reads consistently across low-priced and high-priced equities.

The 68% band is the primary operating range; the 95% and 99.7% bands are wider stress envelopes for unusually strong regime outcomes.