Bitcoin 200-week moving average: where's the cycle bottom?

BTC Current Price

$74,884.25

20-Week SMA

$74,330.66

200-Week SMA

$68,021.57

Macro Risk Score

27.2%

📊 Model Methodology: Rolling Z-Score Risk Oscillator

This chart overlays BTC's weekly Open-High-Low-Close (OHLC) price action with traditional macro moving averages (20W, 100W, 200W SMAs).

To view the hidden Risk Oscillator: Click "Normalized Risk Oscillator" in the chart legend. This proprietary metric calculates the percentage deviation of the price from all available moving averages, applies a 2-year rolling Z-score to account for historical volatility compression, and normalizes the data into a strict 0-100% boundary using a Sigmoid activation function.

LAST UPDATED: 2026-11-09 17:05 UTC | NOT FINANCIAL ADVICE