Broadcom price forecast: what the model says

AVGO SARIMAX Forecast: Bear / Base / Bull Scenario Ladder

Current Spot

$319.92

Base Path by May 16, 2027

$381.65

Bear 68%

$272.67

Bull 68%

$547.68

68% Range Width

72.1%

Raw Forecast Scenario Matrix

Date Bear 99.7% Bear 95% Bear 68% Base Bull 68% Bull 95% Bull 99.7%
2026-11-22 $266.37 $282.18 $298.40 $316.29 $335.49 $355.50 $377.93
2026-11-29 $246.32 $267.84 $290.62 $316.58 $345.37 $376.40 $412.45
2026-12-06 $234.04 $259.33 $286.72 $318.65 $354.97 $395.10 $442.98
2026-12-13 $226.22 $254.66 $286.04 $323.37 $366.73 $415.70 $475.49
2026-12-20 $220.16 $251.28 $286.20 $328.47 $378.49 $436.10 $507.91
2026-12-27 $216.10 $249.75 $288.08 $335.24 $392.01 $458.59 $543.19
2027-01-03 $212.05 $247.87 $289.26 $340.91 $404.09 $479.43 $576.91
2027-01-10 $205.28 $242.37 $285.75 $340.59 $408.64 $490.99 $599.29
2027-01-17 $202.74 $241.77 $287.96 $347.13 $421.59 $513.07 $635.37
2027-01-24 $200.12 $240.87 $289.66 $352.93 $433.63 $534.20 $670.80
2027-01-31 $194.55 $236.09 $286.33 $352.19 $437.19 $544.50 $692.30
2027-02-07 $189.68 $231.98 $283.64 $352.05 $441.38 $555.55 $714.98
2027-02-14 $182.12 $224.52 $276.80 $346.79 $439.26 $558.97 $728.53
2027-02-21 $177.60 $220.76 $274.52 $347.30 $444.63 $572.33 $755.96
2027-02-28 $174.18 $218.26 $273.71 $349.59 $452.31 $588.89 $788.22
2027-03-07 $172.25 $217.58 $275.18 $354.87 $464.09 $611.26 $829.36
2027-03-14 $170.62 $217.21 $276.98 $360.57 $476.52 $634.85 $873.05
2027-03-21 $169.82 $217.89 $280.15 $368.15 $491.71 $662.69 $923.89
2027-03-28 $168.61 $217.93 $282.42 $374.50 $505.30 $688.64 $972.91
2027-04-04 $164.96 $214.58 $279.96 $374.15 $509.29 $700.85 $1,001.72
2027-04-11 $164.29 $215.22 $282.94 $381.47 $524.44 $729.68 $1,056.82
2027-04-18 $163.35 $215.46 $285.33 $387.97 $538.54 $757.38 $1,111.23
2027-04-25 $159.93 $212.16 $282.69 $387.13 $541.78 $768.90 $1,140.65
2027-05-02 $156.90 $209.31 $280.59 $386.99 $545.98 $781.91 $1,172.82
2027-05-09 $151.71 $203.50 $274.41 $381.09 $541.94 $783.07 $1,187.44
2027-05-16 $148.82 $200.85 $272.67 $381.65 $547.68 $799.48 $1,227.63

SARIMAX Forecasting Methodology

The forecast engine resamples daily prices into weekly structure, stabilizes variance through Box-Cox transformation, fits a SARIMAX trend model, then converts the forecast and confidence intervals back into price space. The log-scale y-axis uses a fixed clean tick ladder so the chart reads consistently across low-priced and high-priced equities.

The 68% band is the primary operating range; the 95% and 99.7% bands are wider stress envelopes for unusually strong regime outcomes.