AVAX/USD Asset Valuation

LAST UPDATE: 2026-11-09 16:59 UTC | 23-WEEK HORIZON

68% Bear Target

$3.045

23-Week Base Target

$7.676

68% Bull Target

$19.31

Raw Data Matrix (USD)

Date Bear 99.7% Bear 95% Bear 68% Base Bull 68% Bull 95% Bull 99.7%
2026-11-22 $5.838 $6.651 $7.535 $8.569 $9.743 $11.04 $12.57
2026-11-29 $4.354 $5.437 $6.724 $8.369 $10.41 $12.88 $16.07
2026-12-06 $3.662 $4.896 $6.465 $8.608 $11.46 $15.12 $20.20
2026-12-13 $3.197 $4.519 $6.295 $8.855 $12.45 $17.33 $24.47
2026-12-20 $2.867 $4.253 $6.204 $9.149 $13.49 $19.65 $29.10
2026-12-27 $2.515 $3.894 $5.918 $9.103 $14.00 $21.24 $32.83
2027-01-03 $2.185 $3.519 $5.551 $8.874 $14.18 $22.33 $35.87
2027-01-10 $1.891 $3.157 $5.157 $8.541 $14.14 $23.05 $38.37
2027-01-17 $1.656 $2.859 $4.823 $8.258 $14.13 $23.79 $40.95
2027-01-24 $1.471 $2.623 $4.562 $8.059 $14.23 $24.69 $43.85
2027-01-31 $1.354 $2.488 $4.453 $8.104 $14.74 $26.31 $48.14
2027-02-07 $1.284 $2.428 $4.466 $8.36 $15.63 $28.68 $54.00
2027-02-14 $1.138 $2.221 $4.211 $8.13 $15.68 $29.64 $57.57
2027-02-21 $1.011 $2.037 $3.981 $7.929 $15.77 $30.73 $61.57
2027-02-28 $0.9508 $1.975 $3.973 $8.154 $16.71 $33.51 $69.18
2027-03-07 $0.8974 $1.919 $3.971 $8.387 $17.69 $36.47 $77.49
2027-03-14 $0.8535 $1.878 $3.991 $8.666 $18.79 $39.78 $86.91
2027-03-21 $0.7838 $1.772 $3.866 $8.622 $19.20 $41.71 $93.60
2027-03-28 $0.7069 $1.641 $3.672 $8.405 $19.21 $42.78 $98.54
2027-04-04 $0.631 $1.503 $3.447 $8.09 $18.96 $43.26 $102.19
2027-04-11 $0.5669 $1.385 $3.252 $7.821 $18.78 $43.88 $106.22
2027-04-18 $0.5152 $1.289 $3.099 $7.633 $18.77 $44.87 $111.22
2027-04-25 $0.4834 $1.239 $3.045 $7.676 $19.31 $47.21 $119.77

SARIMAX Forecasting Methodology

This analysis provides a projection of AVAX's valuation against the US Dollar (USD) using a Seasonal ARIMA model combined with a Box-Cox transformation to normalize historical volatility.

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%. This acts as a mathematical cone illustrating the probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull bounds over the next 23 weeks.

NOT FINANCIAL ADVICE. FOR EDUCATIONAL PURPOSES ONLY.