AR/USD Asset Valuation

LAST UPDATE: 2026-09-18 23:59 UTC | 23-WEEK HORIZON

68% Bear Target

$1.12

23-Week Base Target

$3.00

68% Bull Target

$8.11

Raw Data Matrix (USD)

Date Bear 99.7% Bear 95% Bear 68% Base Bull 68% Bull 95% Bull 99.7%
2026-09-27 $1.9585 $2.2416 $2.5516 $2.9163 $3.3338 $3.7970 $4.3501
2026-10-04 $1.5115 $1.8936 $2.3513 $2.9401 $3.6784 $4.5744 $5.7465
2026-10-11 $1.1903 $1.6060 $2.1417 $2.8835 $3.8860 $5.1965 $7.0449
2026-10-18 $0.9332 $1.3400 $1.8976 $2.7192 $3.9019 $5.5480 $8.0224
2026-10-25 $0.7792 $1.1810 $1.7621 $2.6658 $4.0403 $6.0608 $9.2721
2026-11-01 $0.6712 $1.0673 $1.6684 $2.6489 $4.2155 $6.6333 $10.67
2026-11-08 $0.6030 $1.0018 $1.6336 $2.7104 $4.5094 $7.4120 $12.49
2026-11-15 $0.5371 $0.9287 $1.5743 $2.7197 $4.7137 $8.0651 $14.17
2026-11-22 $0.4784 $0.8585 $1.5086 $2.7060 $4.8718 $8.6530 $15.82
2026-11-29 $0.4320 $0.8028 $1.4593 $2.7116 $5.0595 $9.3081 $17.66
2026-12-06 $0.4186 $0.8043 $1.5101 $2.9026 $5.6049 $10.67 $20.98
2026-12-13 $0.3869 $0.7672 $1.4851 $2.9468 $5.8771 $11.55 $23.48
2026-12-20 $0.3618 $0.7401 $1.4772 $3.0262 $6.2341 $12.64 $26.60
2026-12-27 $0.3324 $0.7011 $1.4411 $3.0448 $6.4722 $13.54 $29.44
2027-01-03 $0.2987 $0.6484 $1.3711 $2.9839 $6.5365 $14.09 $31.60
2027-01-10 $0.2592 $0.5785 $1.2566 $2.8129 $6.3413 $14.06 $32.50
2027-01-17 $0.2344 $0.5374 $1.1984 $2.7574 $6.3926 $14.57 $34.69
2027-01-24 $0.2153 $0.5068 $1.1593 $2.7398 $6.5273 $15.28 $37.45
2027-01-31 $0.2041 $0.4927 $1.1555 $2.8034 $6.8594 $16.49 $41.56
2027-02-07 $0.1901 $0.4706 $1.1306 $2.8130 $7.0625 $17.42 $45.10
2027-02-14 $0.1761 $0.4464 $1.0977 $2.7989 $7.2047 $18.21 $48.42
2027-02-21 $0.1646 $0.4269 $1.0740 $2.8046 $7.3975 $19.16 $52.26
2027-02-28 $0.1643 $0.4361 $1.1225 $3.0022 $8.1149 $21.53 $60.27

SARIMAX Forecasting Methodology

This analysis provides a projection of AR's valuation against the US Dollar (USD) using a Seasonal ARIMA model combined with a Box-Cox transformation to normalize historical volatility.

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%. This acts as a mathematical cone illustrating the probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull bounds over the next 23 weeks.

NOT FINANCIAL ADVICE. FOR EDUCATIONAL PURPOSES ONLY.