AR/USD Asset Valuation

LAST UPDATE: 2026-06-11 20:11 UTC | 23-WEEK HORIZON

68% Bear Target

$0.64

23-Week Base Target

$1.83

68% Bull Target

$5.17

Raw Data Matrix (USD)

Date Bear 99.7% Bear 95% Bear 68% Base Bull 68% Bull 95% Bull 99.7%
2026-06-21 $1.2627 $1.4579 $1.6729 $1.9270 $2.2194 $2.5450 $2.9355
2026-06-28 $0.9496 $1.2090 $1.5230 $1.9307 $2.4460 $3.0760 $3.9049
2026-07-05 $0.7652 $1.0559 $1.4359 $1.9688 $2.6966 $3.6562 $5.0187
2026-07-12 $0.6301 $0.9306 $1.3501 $1.9778 $2.8930 $4.1790 $6.1255
2026-07-19 $0.5182 $0.8123 $1.2468 $1.9349 $2.9965 $4.5733 $7.0962
2026-07-26 $0.4170 $0.6893 $1.1129 $1.8185 $2.9638 $4.7511 $7.7561
2026-08-02 $0.3555 $0.6168 $1.0425 $1.7848 $3.0464 $5.1051 $8.7248
2026-08-09 $0.3096 $0.5615 $0.9901 $1.7694 $3.1513 $5.5006 $9.8048
2026-08-16 $0.2816 $0.5324 $0.9762 $1.8156 $3.3632 $6.0964 $11.30
2026-08-23 $0.2509 $0.4932 $0.9384 $1.8122 $3.4839 $6.5438 $12.58
2026-08-30 $0.2233 $0.4556 $0.8978 $1.7966 $3.5774 $6.9492 $13.83
2026-09-06 $0.2005 $0.4238 $0.8636 $1.7876 $3.6804 $7.3814 $15.18
2026-09-13 $0.1944 $0.4255 $0.8958 $1.9173 $4.0790 $8.4416 $17.93
2026-09-20 $0.1792 $0.4058 $0.8826 $1.9520 $4.2890 $9.1543 $20.07
2026-09-27 $0.1670 $0.3909 $0.8772 $2.0022 $4.5382 $9.9778 $22.55
2026-10-04 $0.1531 $0.3703 $0.8564 $2.0157 $4.7085 $10.65 $24.80
2026-10-11 $0.1369 $0.3416 $0.8138 $1.9735 $4.7470 $11.05 $26.46
2026-10-18 $0.1177 $0.3030 $0.7430 $1.8553 $4.5932 $10.99 $27.07
2026-10-25 $0.1061 $0.2812 $0.7091 $1.8211 $4.6345 $11.38 $28.80
2026-11-01 $0.0968 $0.2641 $0.6841 $1.8055 $4.7190 $11.88 $30.88
2026-11-08 $0.0918 $0.2573 $0.6839 $1.8526 $4.9676 $12.82 $34.15
2026-11-15 $0.0847 $0.2440 $0.6653 $1.8492 $5.0850 $13.44 $36.69
2026-11-22 $0.0778 $0.2301 $0.6432 $1.8332 $5.1667 $13.98 $39.08

SARIMAX Forecasting Methodology

This analysis provides a projection of AR's valuation against the US Dollar (USD) using a Seasonal ARIMA model combined with a Box-Cox transformation to normalize historical volatility.

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%. This acts as a mathematical cone illustrating the probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull bounds over the next 23 weeks.

NOT FINANCIAL ADVICE. FOR EDUCATIONAL PURPOSES ONLY.