CryptoWeeklies / Glossary

What is the difference between the 200-day and 200-week moving average?

Both are the average of past closing prices. They look back over very different spans: the 200-day a matter of months, the 200-week almost four years.

How long is a 200-day moving average?

For a stock, 200 days means 200 trading days, because markets close at weekends and on holidays: roughly nine and a half months. Crypto trades every day, so for a coin it means 200 calendar days: roughly six and a half months. The same name covers two different spans, which matters when a stock's 200-day line is compared with a coin's.

How long is a 200-week moving average?

Two hundred weekly closes, about 3.8 years. That is close to the four-year rhythm crypto has followed so far, which is why the 200-week line is read as a cycle floor rather than a trend line. It has its own explainer: the 200-week moving average.

Which moving average should you use?

They answer different questions. The 200-day asks whether the trend of the past months is up or down; distance from it is one input to the Cycle Position oscillator. The 200-week asks where price sits against a whole cycle; the 200-week moving average reports are built on it. Neither is a signal by itself: price has crossed both lines and kept going in either direction.

Other models explained

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Model track records: every weekly reading the site published, beside what the price did next.

Weekly data: each week's published readings, dated and citable.

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