Uniswap against its 20-week moving average: risk level

UNI7083 Risk Matrix

$6.9057 | Risk: 0.37

INDICATOR: 20-WEEK SMA
LAST UPDATE: 2026-11-09 16:54 UTC

📈 UNI7083 Logarithmic Price vs Global Risk Bands

🎯 Algorithmic Risk Price Targets

Target Risk Level Required Price (USD)
Level 0.00 $0.8341
Level 0.05 $1.6571
Level 0.10 $2.4802
Level 0.15 $3.3032
Level 0.20 $4.1262
Level 0.25 $4.9493
Level 0.30 $5.7723
Level 0.35 $6.5953
Level 0.40 $7.4184
Level 0.45 $8.2414
Level 0.50 $9.0644
Level 0.55 $9.8875
Level 0.60 $10.7105
Level 0.65 $11.5335
Level 0.70 $12.3565
Level 0.75 $13.1796
Level 0.80 $14.0026
Level 0.85 $14.8256
Level 0.90 $15.6487
Level 0.95 $16.4717
Level 1.00 $17.2947

📊 Mathematical Methodology

Plot Interpretation: This scatter plot visualizes UNI7083's price relative to its 20-Week Simple Moving Average (SMA), represented by the dotted grey line. The underlying continuous price trend is visible in faint white, allowing you to toggle individual risk level overlays via the legend without losing structural context.

Risk Normalization (Winsorized): Risk levels are mathematically derived by measuring both the linear and proportional distance between the current price and the 20-week SMA. To prevent extreme flash-crashes (e.g., the March 2020 wick) from permanently distorting the scale, the algorithm uses Percentile Winsorization. We clip the absolute extremes at the 2nd and 98th percentiles, ensuring that structural multi-month cycle lows accurately map to deep-value zones (Risk 0.0).

Target Math: The Risk Table uses an exact algebraic reversal of the hybrid scale against today's 20-week SMA, calculating down to the dollar what UNI7083's price must hit today to trigger a specific risk rating.