TRX Risk Matrix

$0.3383 | Risk: 0.35

INDICATOR: 20-WEEK SMA
LAST UPDATE: 2026-09-18 23:54 UTC

📈 TRX Logarithmic Price vs Global Risk Bands

🎯 Algorithmic Risk Price Targets

Target Risk Level Required Price (USD)
Level 0.00 $0.2810
Level 0.05 $0.2891
Level 0.10 $0.2972
Level 0.15 $0.3052
Level 0.20 $0.3133
Level 0.25 $0.3214
Level 0.30 $0.3295
Level 0.35 $0.3375
Level 0.40 $0.3456
Level 0.45 $0.3537
Level 0.50 $0.3617
Level 0.55 $0.3698
Level 0.60 $0.3779
Level 0.65 $0.3859
Level 0.70 $0.3940
Level 0.75 $0.4021
Level 0.80 $0.4102
Level 0.85 $0.4182
Level 0.90 $0.4263
Level 0.95 $0.4344
Level 1.00 $0.4424

📊 Mathematical Methodology

Plot Interpretation: This scatter plot visualizes TRX's price relative to its 20-Week Simple Moving Average (SMA), represented by the dotted grey line. The underlying continuous price trend is visible in faint white, allowing you to toggle individual risk level overlays via the legend without losing structural context.

Risk Normalization (Winsorized): Risk levels are mathematically derived by measuring both the linear and proportional distance between the current price and the 20-week SMA. To prevent extreme flash-crashes (e.g., the March 2020 wick) from permanently distorting the scale, the algorithm uses Percentile Winsorization. We clip the absolute extremes at the 2nd and 98th percentiles, ensuring that structural multi-month cycle lows accurately map to deep-value zones (Risk 0.0).

Target Math: The Risk Table uses an exact algebraic reversal of the hybrid scale against today's 20-week SMA, calculating down to the dollar what TRX's price must hit today to trigger a specific risk rating.