RUNE Risk Matrix

$0.5409 | Risk: 0.36

INDICATOR: 20-WEEK SMA
LAST UPDATE: 2026-09-18 23:54 UTC

📈 RUNE Logarithmic Price vs Global Risk Bands

🎯 Algorithmic Risk Price Targets

Target Risk Level Required Price (USD)
Level 0.00 $-0.2696
Level 0.05 $-0.1573
Level 0.10 $-0.0450
Level 0.15 $0.0673
Level 0.20 $0.1797
Level 0.25 $0.2920
Level 0.30 $0.4043
Level 0.35 $0.5166
Level 0.40 $0.6289
Level 0.45 $0.7412
Level 0.50 $0.8535
Level 0.55 $0.9658
Level 0.60 $1.0781
Level 0.65 $1.1905
Level 0.70 $1.3028
Level 0.75 $1.4151
Level 0.80 $1.5274
Level 0.85 $1.6397
Level 0.90 $1.7520
Level 0.95 $1.8643
Level 1.00 $1.9766

📊 Mathematical Methodology

Plot Interpretation: This scatter plot visualizes RUNE's price relative to its 20-Week Simple Moving Average (SMA), represented by the dotted grey line. The underlying continuous price trend is visible in faint white, allowing you to toggle individual risk level overlays via the legend without losing structural context.

Risk Normalization (Winsorized): Risk levels are mathematically derived by measuring both the linear and proportional distance between the current price and the 20-week SMA. To prevent extreme flash-crashes (e.g., the March 2020 wick) from permanently distorting the scale, the algorithm uses Percentile Winsorization. We clip the absolute extremes at the 2nd and 98th percentiles, ensuring that structural multi-month cycle lows accurately map to deep-value zones (Risk 0.0).

Target Math: The Risk Table uses an exact algebraic reversal of the hybrid scale against today's 20-week SMA, calculating down to the dollar what RUNE's price must hit today to trigger a specific risk rating.