Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RUNE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-06-14 1.703936e-01 0.229256 0.298734 0.385589 0.490014 0.610289 0.757998
2026-06-21 9.354314e-02 0.160737 0.253839 0.386710 0.565617 0.792306 1.094890
2026-06-28 4.900956e-02 0.110840 0.212188 0.376241 0.620231 0.954611 1.430876
2026-07-05 2.512910e-02 0.077562 0.180015 0.366932 0.670437 1.114544 1.780800
2026-07-12 1.336171e-02 0.057707 0.160778 0.370220 0.736477 1.301458 2.183990
2026-07-19 5.891125e-03 0.039516 0.135350 0.353907 0.765745 1.434283 2.518885
2026-07-26 3.121566e-03 0.031770 0.128623 0.369986 0.850212 1.658206 3.003527
2026-08-02 1.333246e-03 0.023797 0.116524 0.370857 0.906083 1.839513 3.433788
2026-08-09 6.875978e-04 0.020485 0.115955 0.396700 1.011084 2.109034 4.016531
2026-08-16 2.837547e-04 0.016821 0.111837 0.412700 1.098077 2.353311 4.571222
2026-08-23 7.143323e-05 0.012706 0.102767 0.413431 1.153524 2.545727 5.050779
2026-08-30 7.299066e-06 0.009105 0.092239 0.406797 1.191800 2.709117 5.489357
2026-09-06 1.376556e-07 0.007017 0.087108 0.414865 1.264439 2.942599 6.061985
2026-09-13 NaN 0.005095 0.080285 0.415728 1.321019 3.150194 6.600949
2026-09-20 NaN 0.003299 0.070784 0.404518 1.347926 3.303309 7.053265
2026-09-27 NaN 0.002074 0.062611 0.394611 1.376056 3.459828 7.517698
2026-10-04 NaN 0.001435 0.058447 0.398043 1.437202 3.684102 8.110161
2026-10-11 NaN 0.000755 0.050025 0.380799 1.443013 3.797934 8.509587
2026-10-18 NaN 0.000581 0.049620 0.397764 1.540513 4.102431 9.263684
2026-10-25 NaN 0.000351 0.045979 0.398678 1.594765 4.320700 9.867965
2026-11-01 NaN 0.000305 0.047695 0.425939 1.724236 4.700988 10.780933
2026-11-08 NaN 0.000225 0.047321 0.442805 1.826170 5.027806 11.604338
2026-11-15 NaN 0.000123 0.044042 0.443574 1.882562 5.261025 12.261068