Ronin against its 20-week moving average: risk level

RON14101 Risk Matrix

$0.0466 | Risk: 0.32

INDICATOR: 20-WEEK SMA
LAST UPDATE: 2026-11-09 16:55 UTC

📈 RON14101 Logarithmic Price vs Global Risk Bands

🎯 Algorithmic Risk Price Targets

Target Risk Level Required Price (USD)
Level 0.00 $-0.0236
Level 0.05 $-0.0126
Level 0.10 $-0.001516
Level 0.15 $0.009540
Level 0.20 $0.0206
Level 0.25 $0.0317
Level 0.30 $0.0427
Level 0.35 $0.0538
Level 0.40 $0.0648
Level 0.45 $0.0759
Level 0.50 $0.0869
Level 0.55 $0.0980
Level 0.60 $0.1090
Level 0.65 $0.1201
Level 0.70 $0.1312
Level 0.75 $0.1422
Level 0.80 $0.1533
Level 0.85 $0.1643
Level 0.90 $0.1754
Level 0.95 $0.1864
Level 1.00 $0.1975

📊 Mathematical Methodology

Plot Interpretation: This scatter plot visualizes RON14101's price relative to its 20-Week Simple Moving Average (SMA), represented by the dotted grey line. The underlying continuous price trend is visible in faint white, allowing you to toggle individual risk level overlays via the legend without losing structural context.

Risk Normalization (Winsorized): Risk levels are mathematically derived by measuring both the linear and proportional distance between the current price and the 20-week SMA. To prevent extreme flash-crashes (e.g., the March 2020 wick) from permanently distorting the scale, the algorithm uses Percentile Winsorization. We clip the absolute extremes at the 2nd and 98th percentiles, ensuring that structural multi-month cycle lows accurately map to deep-value zones (Risk 0.0).

Target Math: The Risk Table uses an exact algebraic reversal of the hybrid scale against today's 20-week SMA, calculating down to the dollar what RON14101's price must hit today to trigger a specific risk rating.