Ondo against its 20-week moving average: risk level

ONDO Risk Matrix

$0.3754 | Risk: 0.32

INDICATOR: 20-WEEK SMA
LAST UPDATE: 2026-11-09 16:54 UTC

📈 ONDO Logarithmic Price vs Global Risk Bands

🎯 Algorithmic Risk Price Targets

Target Risk Level Required Price (USD)
Level 0.00 $0.1241
Level 0.05 $0.1630
Level 0.10 $0.2019
Level 0.15 $0.2408
Level 0.20 $0.2797
Level 0.25 $0.3186
Level 0.30 $0.3575
Level 0.35 $0.3964
Level 0.40 $0.4353
Level 0.45 $0.4742
Level 0.50 $0.5131
Level 0.55 $0.5520
Level 0.60 $0.5909
Level 0.65 $0.6298
Level 0.70 $0.6687
Level 0.75 $0.7076
Level 0.80 $0.7465
Level 0.85 $0.7854
Level 0.90 $0.8243
Level 0.95 $0.8632
Level 1.00 $0.9021

📊 Mathematical Methodology

Plot Interpretation: This scatter plot visualizes ONDO's price relative to its 20-Week Simple Moving Average (SMA), represented by the dotted grey line. The underlying continuous price trend is visible in faint white, allowing you to toggle individual risk level overlays via the legend without losing structural context.

Risk Normalization (Winsorized): Risk levels are mathematically derived by measuring both the linear and proportional distance between the current price and the 20-week SMA. To prevent extreme flash-crashes (e.g., the March 2020 wick) from permanently distorting the scale, the algorithm uses Percentile Winsorization. We clip the absolute extremes at the 2nd and 98th percentiles, ensuring that structural multi-month cycle lows accurately map to deep-value zones (Risk 0.0).

Target Math: The Risk Table uses an exact algebraic reversal of the hybrid scale against today's 20-week SMA, calculating down to the dollar what ONDO's price must hit today to trigger a specific risk rating.