Helium against its 20-week moving average: risk level

HNT Risk Matrix

$0.2759 | Risk: 0.34

INDICATOR: 20-WEEK SMA
LAST UPDATE: 2026-11-09 16:54 UTC

📈 HNT Logarithmic Price vs Global Risk Bands

🎯 Algorithmic Risk Price Targets

Target Risk Level Required Price (USD)
Level 0.00 $-0.3177
Level 0.05 $-0.2293
Level 0.10 $-0.1410
Level 0.15 $-0.0527
Level 0.20 $0.0357
Level 0.25 $0.1240
Level 0.30 $0.2123
Level 0.35 $0.3007
Level 0.40 $0.3890
Level 0.45 $0.4774
Level 0.50 $0.5657
Level 0.55 $0.6540
Level 0.60 $0.7424
Level 0.65 $0.8307
Level 0.70 $0.9191
Level 0.75 $1.0074
Level 0.80 $1.0957
Level 0.85 $1.1841
Level 0.90 $1.2724
Level 0.95 $1.3608
Level 1.00 $1.4491

📊 Mathematical Methodology

Plot Interpretation: This scatter plot visualizes HNT's price relative to its 20-Week Simple Moving Average (SMA), represented by the dotted grey line. The underlying continuous price trend is visible in faint white, allowing you to toggle individual risk level overlays via the legend without losing structural context.

Risk Normalization (Winsorized): Risk levels are mathematically derived by measuring both the linear and proportional distance between the current price and the 20-week SMA. To prevent extreme flash-crashes (e.g., the March 2020 wick) from permanently distorting the scale, the algorithm uses Percentile Winsorization. We clip the absolute extremes at the 2nd and 98th percentiles, ensuring that structural multi-month cycle lows accurately map to deep-value zones (Risk 0.0).

Target Math: The Risk Table uses an exact algebraic reversal of the hybrid scale against today's 20-week SMA, calculating down to the dollar what HNT's price must hit today to trigger a specific risk rating.