FET Risk Matrix

$0.1853 | Risk: 0.35

INDICATOR: 20-WEEK SMA
LAST UPDATE: 2026-09-18 23:54 UTC

📈 FET Logarithmic Price vs Global Risk Bands

🎯 Algorithmic Risk Price Targets

Target Risk Level Required Price (USD)
Level 0.00 $-0.0961
Level 0.05 $-0.0555
Level 0.10 $-0.0149
Level 0.15 $0.0257
Level 0.20 $0.0663
Level 0.25 $0.1068
Level 0.30 $0.1474
Level 0.35 $0.1880
Level 0.40 $0.2286
Level 0.45 $0.2692
Level 0.50 $0.3097
Level 0.55 $0.3503
Level 0.60 $0.3909
Level 0.65 $0.4315
Level 0.70 $0.4721
Level 0.75 $0.5127
Level 0.80 $0.5532
Level 0.85 $0.5938
Level 0.90 $0.6344
Level 0.95 $0.6750
Level 1.00 $0.7156

📊 Mathematical Methodology

Plot Interpretation: This scatter plot visualizes FET's price relative to its 20-Week Simple Moving Average (SMA), represented by the dotted grey line. The underlying continuous price trend is visible in faint white, allowing you to toggle individual risk level overlays via the legend without losing structural context.

Risk Normalization (Winsorized): Risk levels are mathematically derived by measuring both the linear and proportional distance between the current price and the 20-week SMA. To prevent extreme flash-crashes (e.g., the March 2020 wick) from permanently distorting the scale, the algorithm uses Percentile Winsorization. We clip the absolute extremes at the 2nd and 98th percentiles, ensuring that structural multi-month cycle lows accurately map to deep-value zones (Risk 0.0).

Target Math: The Risk Table uses an exact algebraic reversal of the hybrid scale against today's 20-week SMA, calculating down to the dollar what FET's price must hit today to trigger a specific risk rating.