Description

This analysis provides a forecast of FET prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-06-14 0.121827 0.142537 0.165355 0.192310 0.223234 0.257549 0.298462
2026-06-21 0.090560 0.119189 0.154167 0.199806 0.257519 0.327780 0.419479
2026-06-28 0.072430 0.103961 0.145501 0.203714 0.282572 0.384978 0.527197
2026-07-05 0.059260 0.091494 0.136720 0.203946 0.300269 0.432036 0.624336
2026-07-12 0.049335 0.081278 0.128661 0.202818 0.314367 0.473926 0.716825
2026-07-19 0.041090 0.071894 0.119989 0.198888 0.322906 0.507551 0.799410
2026-07-26 0.034900 0.064577 0.113161 0.196378 0.332522 0.542682 0.886268
2026-08-02 0.029024 0.056721 0.104199 0.188975 0.333078 0.563295 0.951848
2026-08-09 0.026854 0.054990 0.105143 0.197893 0.360689 0.628312 1.092077
2026-08-16 0.023108 0.049705 0.099098 0.193844 0.365751 0.656790 1.174942
2026-08-23 0.019658 0.044399 0.092241 0.187358 0.365605 0.676100 1.243473
2026-08-30 0.017120 0.040501 0.087473 0.184054 0.370581 0.704199 1.328660
2026-09-06 0.015582 0.038515 0.086275 0.187616 0.388906 0.757854 1.463931
2026-09-13 0.014588 0.037577 0.087091 0.195280 0.415828 0.829298 1.636858
2026-09-20 0.013365 0.035900 0.086116 0.199124 0.435559 0.888885 1.792366
2026-09-27 0.012005 0.033653 0.083588 0.199352 0.447954 0.935431 1.926709
2026-10-04 0.010722 0.031363 0.080631 0.198248 0.457370 0.976736 2.053729
2026-10-11 0.009425 0.028796 0.076670 0.194399 0.460536 1.005813 2.158861
2026-10-18 0.008375 0.026689 0.073500 0.191941 0.466361 1.040493 2.277274
2026-10-25 0.007205 0.024019 0.068558 0.184692 0.460815 1.051285 2.348088
2026-11-01 0.006942 0.023937 0.070166 0.193425 0.492138 1.141273 2.587256
2026-11-08 0.006133 0.022053 0.066807 0.189460 0.493751 1.168150 2.696599
2026-11-15 0.005327 0.020008 0.062712 0.183108 0.489061 1.180901 2.776696