EOS against its 20-week moving average: risk level

EOS Risk Matrix

$0.0774 | Risk: 0.46

INDICATOR: 20-WEEK SMA
LAST UPDATE: 2026-11-09 16:55 UTC

📈 EOS Logarithmic Price vs Global Risk Bands

🎯 Algorithmic Risk Price Targets

Target Risk Level Required Price (USD)
Level 0.00 $-0.0178
Level 0.05 $-0.007512
Level 0.10 $0.002807
Level 0.15 $0.0131
Level 0.20 $0.0234
Level 0.25 $0.0338
Level 0.30 $0.0441
Level 0.35 $0.0544
Level 0.40 $0.0647
Level 0.45 $0.0750
Level 0.50 $0.0854
Level 0.55 $0.0957
Level 0.60 $0.1060
Level 0.65 $0.1163
Level 0.70 $0.1266
Level 0.75 $0.1370
Level 0.80 $0.1473
Level 0.85 $0.1576
Level 0.90 $0.1679
Level 0.95 $0.1782
Level 1.00 $0.1886

📊 Mathematical Methodology

Plot Interpretation: This scatter plot visualizes EOS's price relative to its 20-Week Simple Moving Average (SMA), represented by the dotted grey line. The underlying continuous price trend is visible in faint white, allowing you to toggle individual risk level overlays via the legend without losing structural context.

Risk Normalization (Winsorized): Risk levels are mathematically derived by measuring both the linear and proportional distance between the current price and the 20-week SMA. To prevent extreme flash-crashes (e.g., the March 2020 wick) from permanently distorting the scale, the algorithm uses Percentile Winsorization. We clip the absolute extremes at the 2nd and 98th percentiles, ensuring that structural multi-month cycle lows accurately map to deep-value zones (Risk 0.0).

Target Math: The Risk Table uses an exact algebraic reversal of the hybrid scale against today's 20-week SMA, calculating down to the dollar what EOS's price must hit today to trigger a specific risk rating.