Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XTZ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-06-14 0.180026 0.196936 0.214846 0.235255 0.257894 0.282269 0.310544
2026-06-21 0.153795 0.177976 0.205269 0.238465 0.277893 0.323404 0.380167
2026-06-28 0.137610 0.165379 0.198096 0.239709 0.291537 0.354363 0.436894
2026-07-05 0.125827 0.155872 0.192518 0.240855 0.303455 0.382489 0.490938
2026-07-12 0.116733 0.148400 0.188188 0.242348 0.314915 0.409872 0.545319
2026-07-19 0.106343 0.138180 0.179200 0.236559 0.315695 0.422506 0.580110
2026-07-26 0.099890 0.132471 0.175451 0.237090 0.324524 0.446083 0.631389
2026-08-02 0.093355 0.126082 0.170176 0.234873 0.328982 0.463403 0.674552
2026-08-09 0.088380 0.121427 0.166847 0.234949 0.336416 0.485152 0.725651
2026-08-16 0.083025 0.115848 0.161779 0.232015 0.338978 0.499548 0.766229
2026-08-23 0.077812 0.110123 0.156093 0.227675 0.338927 0.509683 0.800495
2026-08-30 0.072314 0.103653 0.148906 0.220536 0.333934 0.511538 0.821060
2026-09-06 0.070080 0.101933 0.148726 0.224216 0.346316 0.542131 0.892771
2026-09-13 0.067785 0.099987 0.148076 0.227089 0.357570 0.571698 0.965442
2026-09-20 0.065268 0.097538 0.146475 0.228271 0.366014 0.597035 1.032711
2026-09-27 0.062925 0.095217 0.144912 0.229356 0.374265 0.622498 1.102318
2026-10-04 0.060829 0.093160 0.143627 0.230767 0.383081 0.649457 1.177012
2026-10-11 0.057427 0.088838 0.138456 0.225291 0.379446 0.653808 1.208541
2026-10-18 0.055484 0.086778 0.136856 0.225794 0.386395 0.677808 1.280682
2026-10-25 0.053162 0.083977 0.133876 0.223696 0.388443 0.692750 1.335807
2026-11-01 0.051403 0.082021 0.132200 0.223768 0.394428 0.715465 1.408901
2026-11-08 0.049234 0.079275 0.129043 0.220991 0.394857 0.727406 1.460227
2026-11-15 0.046964 0.076258 0.125275 0.216885 0.392465 0.733559 1.499501