Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XLM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-06-14 0.129452 0.146852 0.166015 0.188734 0.214996 0.244471 0.280159
2026-06-21 0.102102 0.125451 0.153568 0.190134 0.236742 0.294573 0.372402
2026-06-28 0.086221 0.112148 0.145440 0.191773 0.255295 0.340352 0.464598
2026-07-05 0.076357 0.103951 0.141268 0.196162 0.276102 0.390222 0.569017
2026-07-12 0.067830 0.095906 0.135553 0.196669 0.290379 0.431772 0.667336
2026-07-19 0.060538 0.088432 0.129324 0.194986 0.300353 0.467377 0.761521
2026-07-26 0.054580 0.082074 0.123747 0.193176 0.309287 0.501869 0.858952
2026-08-02 0.049489 0.076384 0.118401 0.190787 0.316524 0.534004 0.957174
2026-08-09 0.046328 0.073336 0.116787 0.194144 0.333646 0.585222 1.099079
2026-08-16 0.042803 0.069298 0.113054 0.193288 0.342968 0.623383 1.222349
2026-08-23 0.039990 0.066142 0.110428 0.193966 0.355004 0.668104 1.366963
2026-08-30 0.037310 0.062942 0.107366 0.193412 0.364469 0.708937 1.510801
2026-09-06 0.035508 0.061154 0.106699 0.197413 0.383748 0.773354 1.722406
2026-09-13 0.033633 0.059065 0.105277 0.199797 0.400112 0.834386 1.939969
2026-09-20 0.031872 0.057012 0.103704 0.201651 0.415556 0.895814 2.172289
2026-09-27 0.030607 0.055767 0.103529 0.206310 0.437712 0.976164 2.472318
2026-10-04 0.028987 0.053693 0.101523 0.206848 0.450620 1.036695 2.733259
2026-10-11 0.027269 0.051280 0.098609 0.205069 0.457866 1.084466 2.969680
2026-10-18 0.025690 0.049011 0.095781 0.203153 0.464506 1.131802 3.216756
2026-10-25 0.024189 0.046780 0.092831 0.200625 0.469289 1.175072 3.462498
2026-11-01 0.023351 0.045842 0.092524 0.204177 0.489900 1.264886 3.882836
2026-11-08 0.022195 0.044148 0.090438 0.203271 0.498827 1.323593 4.215109
2026-11-15 0.021255 0.042839 0.089084 0.203989 0.512200 1.397666 4.623216