Hut 8 price forecast: what the model says

HUT SARIMAX Forecast: Bear / Base / Bull Scenario Ladder

Current Spot

$56.47

Base Path by May 16, 2027

$69.48

Bear 68%

$24.95

Bull 68%

$220.20

68% Range Width

281.0%

Raw Forecast Scenario Matrix

Date Bear 99.7% Bear 95% Bear 68% Base Bull 68% Bull 95% Bull 99.7%
2026-11-22 $36.40 $42.18 $48.70 $56.59 $65.93 $76.66 $89.98
2026-11-29 $29.52 $36.84 $45.79 $57.60 $72.90 $92.17 $118.52
2026-12-06 $25.21 $33.41 $44.12 $59.30 $80.49 $109.38 $152.39
2026-12-13 $22.30 $31.10 $43.28 $61.63 $89.02 $129.10 $193.53
2026-12-20 $20.25 $29.54 $43.08 $64.61 $98.76 $152.08 $244.18
2026-12-27 $18.43 $27.97 $42.51 $66.82 $107.52 $174.96 $299.49
2027-01-03 $16.37 $25.71 $40.50 $66.31 $111.67 $190.88 $346.20
2027-01-10 $14.51 $23.48 $38.20 $64.88 $113.85 $203.59 $389.59
2027-01-17 $12.89 $21.44 $35.90 $63.06 $114.94 $214.36 $431.36
2027-01-24 $11.73 $20.02 $34.48 $62.55 $118.31 $229.91 $486.37
2027-01-31 $10.68 $18.68 $33.00 $61.70 $120.81 $244.10 $541.57
2027-02-07 $9.88 $17.67 $32.01 $61.63 $124.84 $262.11 $609.83
2027-02-14 $9.15 $16.76 $31.18 $61.95 $130.18 $285.01 $698.70
2027-02-21 $8.59 $16.13 $30.81 $63.18 $137.76 $314.77 $814.37
2027-02-28 $8.16 $15.69 $30.77 $65.11 $147.35 $351.57 $961.08
2027-03-07 $7.83 $15.42 $31.02 $67.73 $159.10 $396.54 $1,146.81
2027-03-14 $7.59 $15.28 $31.54 $71.06 $173.27 $451.44 $1,383.16
2027-03-21 $7.29 $14.99 $31.70 $73.52 $185.73 $504.77 $1,635.06
2027-03-28 $6.79 $14.22 $30.69 $72.96 $189.97 $535.37 $1,819.97
2027-04-04 $6.28 $13.35 $29.35 $71.37 $191.02 $556.68 $1,979.45
2027-04-11 $5.78 $12.49 $27.92 $69.35 $190.51 $573.06 $2,126.99
2027-04-18 $5.42 $11.90 $27.08 $68.78 $194.24 $604.37 $2,349.20
2027-04-25 $5.08 $11.30 $26.16 $67.84 $196.66 $632.01 $2,568.52
2027-05-02 $4.80 $10.86 $25.57 $67.76 $201.83 $670.85 $2,857.03
2027-05-09 $4.55 $10.46 $25.09 $68.12 $209.10 $721.79 $3,241.11
2027-05-16 $4.36 $10.20 $24.95 $69.48 $220.20 $791.39 $3,762.66

SARIMAX Forecasting Methodology

The forecast engine resamples daily prices into weekly structure, stabilizes variance through Box-Cox transformation, fits a SARIMAX trend model, then converts the forecast and confidence intervals back into price space. The log-scale y-axis uses a fixed clean tick ladder so the chart reads consistently across low-priced and high-priced equities.

The 68% band is the primary operating range; the 95% and 99.7% bands are wider stress envelopes for unusually strong regime outcomes.