Hewlett Packard price forecast: what the model says

HPE SARIMAX Forecast: Bear / Base / Bull Scenario Ladder

Current Spot

$48.48

Base Path by May 16, 2027

$68.48

Bear 68%

$38.36

Bull 68%

$178.47

68% Range Width

204.6%

Raw Forecast Scenario Matrix

Date Bear 99.7% Bear 95% Bear 68% Base Bull 68% Bull 95% Bull 99.7%
2026-11-22 $37.76 $41.20 $45.00 $49.58 $54.99 $61.25 $69.17
2026-11-29 $34.22 $38.59 $43.74 $50.36 $58.83 $69.61 $84.89
2026-12-06 $32.74 $37.82 $44.06 $52.51 $64.05 $79.96 $105.09
2026-12-13 $31.01 $36.47 $43.39 $53.16 $67.24 $88.09 $124.48
2026-12-20 $29.49 $35.18 $42.58 $53.37 $69.66 $95.33 $144.71
2026-12-27 $28.40 $34.33 $42.23 $54.13 $72.90 $104.49 $172.20
2027-01-03 $27.70 $33.90 $42.38 $55.57 $77.38 $116.78 $212.84
2027-01-10 $26.47 $32.67 $41.27 $54.93 $78.27 $122.62 $241.98
2027-01-17 $24.97 $30.96 $39.35 $52.84 $76.32 $122.32 $254.25
2027-01-24 $24.75 $31.03 $40.01 $54.92 $82.11 $139.84 $338.36
2027-01-31 $24.02 $30.33 $39.47 $54.94 $84.04 $149.33 $407.60
2027-02-07 $23.62 $30.07 $39.58 $56.05 $88.29 $166.06 $545.32
2027-02-14 $23.11 $29.69 $39.56 $57.14 $93.14 $188.09 $818.39
2027-02-21 $22.64 $29.34 $39.58 $58.29 $98.40 $214.95 $1,410.93
2027-02-28 $22.51 $29.48 $40.37 $60.96 $107.85 $264.31 $4,807.14
2027-03-07 $22.04 $29.09 $40.25 $61.84 $113.24 $304.49 $88,913.02
2027-03-14 $21.51 $28.55 $39.83 $62.10 $117.08 $342.90 N/A
2027-03-21 $21.13 $28.23 $39.78 $63.07 $123.22 $404.29 N/A
2027-03-28 $20.91 $28.16 $40.13 $64.94 $132.62 $510.30 N/A
2027-04-04 $20.31 $27.43 $39.28 $64.12 $133.48 $554.43 N/A
2027-04-11 $19.47 $26.30 $37.64 $61.41 $127.71 $528.04 N/A
2027-04-18 $19.44 $26.48 $38.38 $64.10 $140.70 $742.46 N/A
2027-04-25 $19.04 $26.04 $37.98 $64.12 $144.52 $876.83 N/A
2027-05-02 $18.85 $25.94 $38.17 $65.57 $154.29 $1,221.08 N/A
2027-05-09 $18.59 $25.74 $38.26 $66.98 $165.63 $1,940.94 N/A
2027-05-16 $18.35 $25.56 $38.36 $68.48 $178.47 $3,802.98 N/A

SARIMAX Forecasting Methodology

The forecast engine resamples daily prices into weekly structure, stabilizes variance through Box-Cox transformation, fits a SARIMAX trend model, then converts the forecast and confidence intervals back into price space. The log-scale y-axis uses a fixed clean tick ladder so the chart reads consistently across low-priced and high-priced equities.

The 68% band is the primary operating range; the 95% and 99.7% bands are wider stress envelopes for unusually strong regime outcomes.