HIVE Digital price forecast: what the model says

HIVE SARIMAX Forecast: Bear / Base / Bull Scenario Ladder

Current Spot

$1.83

Base Path by May 16, 2027

$1.65

Bear 68%

$0.7199

Bull 68%

$4.23

68% Range Width

212.9%

Raw Forecast Scenario Matrix

Date Bear 99.7% Bear 95% Bear 68% Base Bull 68% Bull 95% Bull 99.7%
2026-11-22 $1.31 $1.46 $1.62 $1.81 $2.02 $2.26 $2.54
2026-11-29 $1.07 $1.27 $1.50 $1.80 $2.16 $2.59 $3.16
2026-12-06 $0.9512 $1.19 $1.49 $1.89 $2.41 $3.09 $4.04
2026-12-13 $0.8536 $1.12 $1.46 $1.94 $2.62 $3.55 $4.95
2026-12-20 $0.7593 $1.03 $1.40 $1.94 $2.74 $3.90 $5.76
2026-12-27 $0.6806 $0.9522 $1.33 $1.93 $2.83 $4.22 $6.55
2027-01-03 $0.6103 $0.8772 $1.27 $1.89 $2.88 $4.46 $7.27
2027-01-10 $0.5331 $0.7835 $1.16 $1.77 $2.79 $4.48 $7.60
2027-01-17 $0.4810 $0.7220 $1.09 $1.72 $2.79 $4.62 $8.17
2027-01-24 $0.4397 $0.6732 $1.04 $1.68 $2.80 $4.80 $8.83
2027-01-31 $0.4155 $0.6490 $1.02 $1.69 $2.92 $5.17 $9.93
2027-02-07 $0.3992 $0.6361 $1.03 $1.74 $3.09 $5.67 $11.37
2027-02-14 $0.3708 $0.6024 $0.9925 $1.73 $3.16 $6.00 $12.59
2027-02-21 $0.3457 $0.5724 $0.9631 $1.72 $3.24 $6.38 $13.99
2027-02-28 $0.3369 $0.5699 $0.9820 $1.81 $3.52 $7.22 $16.71
2027-03-07 $0.3241 $0.5590 $0.9847 $1.86 $3.75 $7.99 $19.43
2027-03-14 $0.3054 $0.5356 $0.9613 $1.86 $3.85 $8.49 $21.62
2027-03-21 $0.2868 $0.5108 $0.9329 $1.84 $3.92 $8.93 $23.75
2027-03-28 $0.2675 $0.4831 $0.8964 $1.81 $3.94 $9.23 $25.57
2027-04-04 $0.2425 $0.4424 $0.8305 $1.70 $3.77 $9.04 $25.83
2027-04-11 $0.2252 $0.4157 $0.7909 $1.64 $3.73 $9.18 $27.16
2027-04-18 $0.2110 $0.3940 $0.7597 $1.61 $3.72 $9.40 $28.88
2027-04-25 $0.2031 $0.3845 $0.7531 $1.62 $3.86 $10.06 $32.30
2027-05-02 $0.1982 $0.3805 $0.7577 $1.67 $4.07 $10.99 $37.04
2027-05-09 $0.1876 $0.3649 $0.7376 $1.66 $4.14 $11.54 $40.73
2027-05-16 $0.1779 $0.3507 $0.7199 $1.65 $4.23 $12.17 $45.09

SARIMAX Forecasting Methodology

The forecast engine resamples daily prices into weekly structure, stabilizes variance through Box-Cox transformation, fits a SARIMAX trend model, then converts the forecast and confidence intervals back into price space. The log-scale y-axis uses a fixed clean tick ladder so the chart reads consistently across low-priced and high-priced equities.

The 68% band is the primary operating range; the 95% and 99.7% bands are wider stress envelopes for unusually strong regime outcomes.