CoreWeave price forecast: what the model says

CRWV SARIMAX Forecast: Bear / Base / Bull Scenario Ladder

Current Spot

$49.29

Base Path by May 16, 2027

$34.74

Bear 68%

N/A

Bull 68%

$110.36

68% Range Width

N/A

Raw Forecast Scenario Matrix

Date Bear 99.7% Bear 95% Bear 68% Base Bull 68% Bull 95% Bull 99.7%
2026-11-22 $21.90 $29.43 $37.39 $46.29 $55.86 $65.77 $76.73
2026-11-29 $10.79 $20.21 $31.09 $43.98 $58.44 $73.86 $91.31
2026-12-06 $5.62 $16.02 $29.24 $45.66 $64.60 $85.18 $108.80
2026-12-13 $0.7460 $9.53 $23.37 $41.85 $63.96 $88.53 $117.14
2026-12-20 N/A $7.01 $21.92 $42.87 $68.52 $97.37 $131.24
2026-12-27 N/A $7.10 $24.06 $48.25 $78.05 $111.69 $151.27
2027-01-03 N/A $5.03 $22.51 $48.69 $81.54 $118.97 $163.27
2027-01-10 N/A $0.7714 $15.18 $40.83 $74.63 $114.03 $161.30
2027-01-17 N/A $0.1055 $13.97 $41.08 $77.46 $120.20 $171.71
2027-01-24 N/A N/A $13.32 $42.01 $81.04 $127.17 $182.94
2027-01-31 N/A N/A $13.51 $44.13 $86.07 $135.77 $195.94
2027-02-07 N/A N/A $11.98 $43.49 $87.51 $140.07 $203.98
2027-02-14 N/A N/A $9.23 $41.10 $87.25 $143.06 $211.38
2027-02-21 N/A N/A $6.97 $39.14 $87.42 $146.52 $219.29
2027-02-28 N/A N/A $6.81 $40.87 $92.46 $155.80 $233.91
2027-03-07 N/A N/A $4.13 $37.27 $90.19 $156.14 $238.07
2027-03-14 N/A N/A $3.77 $38.29 $94.13 $163.97 $250.88
2027-03-21 N/A N/A $5.28 $43.47 $103.80 $178.76 $271.76
2027-03-28 N/A N/A $4.66 $43.90 $106.88 $185.46 $283.15
2027-04-04 N/A N/A $1.22 $36.36 $98.61 $178.11 $278.01
2027-04-11 N/A N/A $0.8544 $36.59 $101.23 $184.12 $288.46
2027-04-18 N/A N/A $0.6968 $37.49 $104.76 $191.22 $300.16
2027-04-25 N/A N/A $0.8203 $39.52 $109.93 $200.33 $314.18
2027-05-02 N/A N/A $0.3672 $38.91 $111.23 $204.60 $322.48
2027-05-09 N/A N/A N/A $36.62 $110.53 $207.00 $329.37
2027-05-16 N/A N/A N/A $34.74 $110.36 $210.06 $337.04

SARIMAX Forecasting Methodology

The forecast engine resamples daily prices into weekly structure, stabilizes variance through Box-Cox transformation, fits a SARIMAX trend model, then converts the forecast and confidence intervals back into price space. The log-scale y-axis uses a fixed clean tick ladder so the chart reads consistently across low-priced and high-priced equities.

The 68% band is the primary operating range; the 95% and 99.7% bands are wider stress envelopes for unusually strong regime outcomes.