Arista Networks price forecast: what the model says

ANET SARIMAX Forecast: Bear / Base / Bull Scenario Ladder

Current Spot

$186.68

Base Path by May 16, 2027

$235.18

Bear 68%

$169.32

Bull 68%

$329.07

68% Range Width

67.9%

Raw Forecast Scenario Matrix

Date Bear 99.7% Bear 95% Bear 68% Base Bull 68% Bull 95% Bull 99.7%
2026-11-22 $161.54 $170.69 $179.98 $190.10 $200.84 $211.89 $224.12
2026-11-29 $150.22 $163.39 $177.17 $192.66 $209.60 $227.59 $248.12
2026-12-06 $140.72 $156.26 $172.88 $191.98 $213.35 $236.54 $263.64
2026-12-13 $134.92 $152.42 $171.47 $193.77 $219.20 $247.31 $280.80
2026-12-20 $131.50 $150.81 $172.17 $197.58 $227.04 $260.15 $300.27
2026-12-27 $129.61 $150.68 $174.32 $202.85 $236.43 $274.75 $321.92
2027-01-03 $127.51 $150.09 $175.76 $207.16 $244.62 $287.97 $342.09
2027-01-10 $122.17 $145.42 $172.17 $205.29 $245.30 $292.18 $351.48
2027-01-17 $117.99 $141.93 $169.78 $204.65 $247.27 $297.81 $362.52
2027-01-24 $115.29 $140.08 $169.22 $206.11 $251.70 $306.38 $377.23
2027-01-31 $112.89 $138.48 $168.86 $207.71 $256.25 $315.10 $392.20
2027-02-07 $110.86 $137.23 $168.84 $209.66 $261.19 $324.31 $407.92
2027-02-14 $107.91 $134.79 $167.33 $209.77 $263.90 $330.91 $420.62
2027-02-21 $106.52 $134.25 $168.15 $212.79 $270.31 $342.25 $439.62
2027-02-28 $103.48 $131.51 $166.08 $212.03 $271.79 $347.28 $450.47
2027-03-07 $101.87 $130.54 $166.20 $214.02 $276.81 $356.88 $467.44
2027-03-14 $101.35 $130.93 $168.05 $218.26 $284.81 $370.47 $489.95
2027-03-21 $101.57 $132.27 $171.11 $224.12 $295.02 $387.16 $516.93
2027-03-28 $101.33 $132.98 $173.34 $228.91 $303.88 $402.19 $541.97
2027-04-04 $98.31 $129.91 $170.51 $226.84 $303.44 $404.73 $549.99
2027-04-11 $95.97 $127.69 $168.74 $226.12 $304.78 $409.63 $561.28
2027-04-18 $94.65 $126.80 $168.72 $227.74 $309.31 $418.92 $578.83
2027-04-25 $93.46 $126.04 $168.83 $229.52 $314.06 $428.57 $597.04
2027-05-02 $92.46 $125.52 $169.23 $231.69 $319.36 $439.05 $616.60
2027-05-09 $90.65 $123.88 $168.13 $231.82 $321.91 $445.89 $631.36
2027-05-16 $90.06 $123.91 $169.32 $235.18 $329.07 $459.35 $655.95

SARIMAX Forecasting Methodology

The forecast engine resamples daily prices into weekly structure, stabilizes variance through Box-Cox transformation, fits a SARIMAX trend model, then converts the forecast and confidence intervals back into price space. The log-scale y-axis uses a fixed clean tick ladder so the chart reads consistently across low-priced and high-priced equities.

The 68% band is the primary operating range; the 95% and 99.7% bands are wider stress envelopes for unusually strong regime outcomes.