XDC Network against its 20-week moving average: risk level

XDC Risk Matrix

$0.0298 | Risk: 0.28

INDICATOR: 20-WEEK SMA
LAST UPDATE: 2026-11-09 16:55 UTC

📈 XDC Logarithmic Price vs Global Risk Bands

🎯 Algorithmic Risk Price Targets

Target Risk Level Required Price (USD)
Level 0.00 $0.007566
Level 0.05 $0.0116
Level 0.10 $0.0155
Level 0.15 $0.0195
Level 0.20 $0.0235
Level 0.25 $0.0275
Level 0.30 $0.0315
Level 0.35 $0.0355
Level 0.40 $0.0395
Level 0.45 $0.0435
Level 0.50 $0.0475
Level 0.55 $0.0515
Level 0.60 $0.0555
Level 0.65 $0.0594
Level 0.70 $0.0634
Level 0.75 $0.0674
Level 0.80 $0.0714
Level 0.85 $0.0754
Level 0.90 $0.0794
Level 0.95 $0.0834
Level 1.00 $0.0874

📊 Mathematical Methodology

Plot Interpretation: This scatter plot visualizes XDC's price relative to its 20-Week Simple Moving Average (SMA), represented by the dotted grey line. The underlying continuous price trend is visible in faint white, allowing you to toggle individual risk level overlays via the legend without losing structural context.

Risk Normalization (Winsorized): Risk levels are mathematically derived by measuring both the linear and proportional distance between the current price and the 20-week SMA. To prevent extreme flash-crashes (e.g., the March 2020 wick) from permanently distorting the scale, the algorithm uses Percentile Winsorization. We clip the absolute extremes at the 2nd and 98th percentiles, ensuring that structural multi-month cycle lows accurately map to deep-value zones (Risk 0.0).

Target Math: The Risk Table uses an exact algebraic reversal of the hybrid scale against today's 20-week SMA, calculating down to the dollar what XDC's price must hit today to trigger a specific risk rating.