Worldcoin against its 20-week moving average: risk level

WLD Risk Matrix

$0.3190 | Risk: 0.26

INDICATOR: 20-WEEK SMA
LAST UPDATE: 2026-11-09 16:55 UTC

📈 WLD Logarithmic Price vs Global Risk Bands

🎯 Algorithmic Risk Price Targets

Target Risk Level Required Price (USD)
Level 0.00 $-0.2009
Level 0.05 $-0.1025
Level 0.10 $-0.004026
Level 0.15 $0.0944
Level 0.20 $0.1929
Level 0.25 $0.2913
Level 0.30 $0.3898
Level 0.35 $0.4882
Level 0.40 $0.5867
Level 0.45 $0.6851
Level 0.50 $0.7836
Level 0.55 $0.8820
Level 0.60 $0.9805
Level 0.65 $1.0789
Level 0.70 $1.1774
Level 0.75 $1.2758
Level 0.80 $1.3743
Level 0.85 $1.4727
Level 0.90 $1.5712
Level 0.95 $1.6696
Level 1.00 $1.7681

📊 Mathematical Methodology

Plot Interpretation: This scatter plot visualizes WLD's price relative to its 20-Week Simple Moving Average (SMA), represented by the dotted grey line. The underlying continuous price trend is visible in faint white, allowing you to toggle individual risk level overlays via the legend without losing structural context.

Risk Normalization (Winsorized): Risk levels are mathematically derived by measuring both the linear and proportional distance between the current price and the 20-week SMA. To prevent extreme flash-crashes (e.g., the March 2020 wick) from permanently distorting the scale, the algorithm uses Percentile Winsorization. We clip the absolute extremes at the 2nd and 98th percentiles, ensuring that structural multi-month cycle lows accurately map to deep-value zones (Risk 0.0).

Target Math: The Risk Table uses an exact algebraic reversal of the hybrid scale against today's 20-week SMA, calculating down to the dollar what WLD's price must hit today to trigger a specific risk rating.