W Risk Matrix

$0.0111 | Risk: 0.89

INDICATOR: 20-WEEK SMA
LAST UPDATE: 2026-09-18 23:55 UTC

📈 W Logarithmic Price vs Global Risk Bands

🎯 Algorithmic Risk Price Targets

Target Risk Level Required Price (USD)
Level 0.00 $-0.0131
Level 0.05 $-0.0118
Level 0.10 $-0.0104
Level 0.15 $-0.0091
Level 0.20 $-0.0077
Level 0.25 $-0.0063
Level 0.30 $-0.0050
Level 0.35 $-0.0036
Level 0.40 $-0.0023
Level 0.45 $-0.0009
Level 0.50 $0.0004
Level 0.55 $0.0018
Level 0.60 $0.0032
Level 0.65 $0.0045
Level 0.70 $0.0059
Level 0.75 $0.0072
Level 0.80 $0.0086
Level 0.85 $0.0100
Level 0.90 $0.0113
Level 0.95 $0.0127
Level 1.00 $0.0140

📊 Mathematical Methodology

Plot Interpretation: This scatter plot visualizes W's price relative to its 20-Week Simple Moving Average (SMA), represented by the dotted grey line. The underlying continuous price trend is visible in faint white, allowing you to toggle individual risk level overlays via the legend without losing structural context.

Risk Normalization (Winsorized): Risk levels are mathematically derived by measuring both the linear and proportional distance between the current price and the 20-week SMA. To prevent extreme flash-crashes (e.g., the March 2020 wick) from permanently distorting the scale, the algorithm uses Percentile Winsorization. We clip the absolute extremes at the 2nd and 98th percentiles, ensuring that structural multi-month cycle lows accurately map to deep-value zones (Risk 0.0).

Target Math: The Risk Table uses an exact algebraic reversal of the hybrid scale against today's 20-week SMA, calculating down to the dollar what W's price must hit today to trigger a specific risk rating.