VeChain against its 20-week moving average: risk level

VET Risk Matrix

$0.005301 | Risk: 0.30

INDICATOR: 20-WEEK SMA
LAST UPDATE: 2026-11-09 16:54 UTC

📈 VET Logarithmic Price vs Global Risk Bands

🎯 Algorithmic Risk Price Targets

Target Risk Level Required Price (USD)
Level 0.00 $-0.001743
Level 0.05 $-0.0005663
Level 0.10 $0.0006106
Level 0.15 $0.001787
Level 0.20 $0.002964
Level 0.25 $0.004141
Level 0.30 $0.005318
Level 0.35 $0.006495
Level 0.40 $0.007672
Level 0.45 $0.008849
Level 0.50 $0.0100
Level 0.55 $0.0112
Level 0.60 $0.0124
Level 0.65 $0.0136
Level 0.70 $0.0147
Level 0.75 $0.0159
Level 0.80 $0.0171
Level 0.85 $0.0183
Level 0.90 $0.0194
Level 0.95 $0.0206
Level 1.00 $0.0218

📊 Mathematical Methodology

Plot Interpretation: This scatter plot visualizes VET's price relative to its 20-Week Simple Moving Average (SMA), represented by the dotted grey line. The underlying continuous price trend is visible in faint white, allowing you to toggle individual risk level overlays via the legend without losing structural context.

Risk Normalization (Winsorized): Risk levels are mathematically derived by measuring both the linear and proportional distance between the current price and the 20-week SMA. To prevent extreme flash-crashes (e.g., the March 2020 wick) from permanently distorting the scale, the algorithm uses Percentile Winsorization. We clip the absolute extremes at the 2nd and 98th percentiles, ensuring that structural multi-month cycle lows accurately map to deep-value zones (Risk 0.0).

Target Math: The Risk Table uses an exact algebraic reversal of the hybrid scale against today's 20-week SMA, calculating down to the dollar what VET's price must hit today to trigger a specific risk rating.