TRB Risk Matrix

$18.4500 | Risk: 0.31

INDICATOR: 20-WEEK SMA
LAST UPDATE: 2026-09-18 23:54 UTC

📈 TRB Logarithmic Price vs Global Risk Bands

🎯 Algorithmic Risk Price Targets

Target Risk Level Required Price (USD)
Level 0.00 $0.1074
Level 0.05 $3.1095
Level 0.10 $6.1115
Level 0.15 $9.1136
Level 0.20 $12.1157
Level 0.25 $15.1178
Level 0.30 $18.1199
Level 0.35 $21.1219
Level 0.40 $24.1240
Level 0.45 $27.1261
Level 0.50 $30.1282
Level 0.55 $33.1302
Level 0.60 $36.1323
Level 0.65 $39.1344
Level 0.70 $42.1365
Level 0.75 $45.1386
Level 0.80 $48.1406
Level 0.85 $51.1427
Level 0.90 $54.1448
Level 0.95 $57.1469
Level 1.00 $60.1490

📊 Mathematical Methodology

Plot Interpretation: This scatter plot visualizes TRB's price relative to its 20-Week Simple Moving Average (SMA), represented by the dotted grey line. The underlying continuous price trend is visible in faint white, allowing you to toggle individual risk level overlays via the legend without losing structural context.

Risk Normalization (Winsorized): Risk levels are mathematically derived by measuring both the linear and proportional distance between the current price and the 20-week SMA. To prevent extreme flash-crashes (e.g., the March 2020 wick) from permanently distorting the scale, the algorithm uses Percentile Winsorization. We clip the absolute extremes at the 2nd and 98th percentiles, ensuring that structural multi-month cycle lows accurately map to deep-value zones (Risk 0.0).

Target Math: The Risk Table uses an exact algebraic reversal of the hybrid scale against today's 20-week SMA, calculating down to the dollar what TRB's price must hit today to trigger a specific risk rating.