Theta Network against its 20-week moving average: risk level

THETA Risk Matrix

$0.1430 | Risk: 0.27

INDICATOR: 20-WEEK SMA
LAST UPDATE: 2026-11-09 16:55 UTC

📈 THETA Logarithmic Price vs Global Risk Bands

🎯 Algorithmic Risk Price Targets

Target Risk Level Required Price (USD)
Level 0.00 $-0.0493
Level 0.05 $-0.0134
Level 0.10 $0.0226
Level 0.15 $0.0586
Level 0.20 $0.0945
Level 0.25 $0.1305
Level 0.30 $0.1664
Level 0.35 $0.2024
Level 0.40 $0.2383
Level 0.45 $0.2743
Level 0.50 $0.3102
Level 0.55 $0.3462
Level 0.60 $0.3822
Level 0.65 $0.4181
Level 0.70 $0.4541
Level 0.75 $0.4900
Level 0.80 $0.5260
Level 0.85 $0.5619
Level 0.90 $0.5979
Level 0.95 $0.6338
Level 1.00 $0.6698

📊 Mathematical Methodology

Plot Interpretation: This scatter plot visualizes THETA's price relative to its 20-Week Simple Moving Average (SMA), represented by the dotted grey line. The underlying continuous price trend is visible in faint white, allowing you to toggle individual risk level overlays via the legend without losing structural context.

Risk Normalization (Winsorized): Risk levels are mathematically derived by measuring both the linear and proportional distance between the current price and the 20-week SMA. To prevent extreme flash-crashes (e.g., the March 2020 wick) from permanently distorting the scale, the algorithm uses Percentile Winsorization. We clip the absolute extremes at the 2nd and 98th percentiles, ensuring that structural multi-month cycle lows accurately map to deep-value zones (Risk 0.0).

Target Math: The Risk Table uses an exact algebraic reversal of the hybrid scale against today's 20-week SMA, calculating down to the dollar what THETA's price must hit today to trigger a specific risk rating.