STX4847 Risk Matrix

$0.2842 | Risk: 0.45

INDICATOR: 20-WEEK SMA
LAST UPDATE: 2026-09-18 23:54 UTC

📈 STX4847 Logarithmic Price vs Global Risk Bands

🎯 Algorithmic Risk Price Targets

Target Risk Level Required Price (USD)
Level 0.00 $-0.0353
Level 0.05 $0.0003
Level 0.10 $0.0360
Level 0.15 $0.0716
Level 0.20 $0.1073
Level 0.25 $0.1429
Level 0.30 $0.1786
Level 0.35 $0.2142
Level 0.40 $0.2499
Level 0.45 $0.2856
Level 0.50 $0.3212
Level 0.55 $0.3569
Level 0.60 $0.3925
Level 0.65 $0.4282
Level 0.70 $0.4638
Level 0.75 $0.4995
Level 0.80 $0.5351
Level 0.85 $0.5708
Level 0.90 $0.6064
Level 0.95 $0.6421
Level 1.00 $0.6777

📊 Mathematical Methodology

Plot Interpretation: This scatter plot visualizes STX4847's price relative to its 20-Week Simple Moving Average (SMA), represented by the dotted grey line. The underlying continuous price trend is visible in faint white, allowing you to toggle individual risk level overlays via the legend without losing structural context.

Risk Normalization (Winsorized): Risk levels are mathematically derived by measuring both the linear and proportional distance between the current price and the 20-week SMA. To prevent extreme flash-crashes (e.g., the March 2020 wick) from permanently distorting the scale, the algorithm uses Percentile Winsorization. We clip the absolute extremes at the 2nd and 98th percentiles, ensuring that structural multi-month cycle lows accurately map to deep-value zones (Risk 0.0).

Target Math: The Risk Table uses an exact algebraic reversal of the hybrid scale against today's 20-week SMA, calculating down to the dollar what STX4847's price must hit today to trigger a specific risk rating.