Description

This analysis provides a forecast of STX4847 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-06-14 0.119832 0.141303 0.164972 0.192926 0.224960 0.260443 0.302637
2026-06-21 0.087004 0.114569 0.147898 0.190855 0.244414 0.308624 0.391021
2026-06-28 0.070750 0.100514 0.138831 0.191176 0.260132 0.347097 0.464180
2026-07-05 0.059546 0.090403 0.132344 0.192556 0.275633 0.384907 0.537923
2026-07-12 0.050074 0.080780 0.124622 0.190420 0.284994 0.414044 0.601002
2026-07-19 0.042973 0.073322 0.118655 0.189484 0.295083 0.443945 0.666145
2026-07-26 0.037099 0.066758 0.112980 0.187953 0.303565 0.471459 0.728941
2026-08-02 0.032655 0.061769 0.108975 0.188237 0.314291 0.502347 0.797861
2026-08-09 0.030510 0.060291 0.110268 0.196717 0.337872 0.553322 0.898905
2026-08-16 0.026458 0.054870 0.104384 0.192849 0.341460 0.573912 0.955006
2026-08-23 0.022855 0.049725 0.098328 0.187959 0.342733 0.590596 1.005543
2026-08-30 0.019626 0.044804 0.092065 0.181985 0.341503 0.602880 1.049387
2026-09-06 0.018837 0.044696 0.094693 0.192201 0.368888 0.663622 1.175090
2026-09-13 0.016647 0.041380 0.090922 0.190419 0.375270 0.690155 1.246699
2026-09-20 0.014971 0.038890 0.088427 0.190679 0.385104 0.722766 1.329690
2026-09-27 0.013610 0.036886 0.086648 0.192069 0.396943 0.759248 1.420753
2026-10-04 0.012088 0.034259 0.083267 0.189935 0.401962 0.783953 1.492677
2026-10-11 0.010847 0.032105 0.080628 0.189001 0.409075 0.812586 1.572597
2026-10-18 0.009705 0.030005 0.077847 0.187473 0.414833 0.838931 1.649548
2026-10-25 0.008817 0.028412 0.076018 0.187757 0.424101 0.872059 1.740005
2026-11-01 0.008537 0.028425 0.077900 0.196218 0.450320 0.937897 1.892527
2026-11-08 0.007541 0.026259 0.074363 0.192359 0.451031 0.955660 1.957599
2026-11-15 0.006605 0.024093 0.070548 0.187479 0.449194 0.968319 2.013571