POL28321 Risk Matrix

$0.1069 | Risk: 0.78

INDICATOR: 20-WEEK SMA
LAST UPDATE: 2026-09-18 23:54 UTC

📈 POL28321 Logarithmic Price vs Global Risk Bands

🎯 Algorithmic Risk Price Targets

Target Risk Level Required Price (USD)
Level 0.00 $0.0090
Level 0.05 $0.0153
Level 0.10 $0.0215
Level 0.15 $0.0278
Level 0.20 $0.0341
Level 0.25 $0.0403
Level 0.30 $0.0466
Level 0.35 $0.0528
Level 0.40 $0.0591
Level 0.45 $0.0654
Level 0.50 $0.0716
Level 0.55 $0.0779
Level 0.60 $0.0841
Level 0.65 $0.0904
Level 0.70 $0.0967
Level 0.75 $0.1029
Level 0.80 $0.1092
Level 0.85 $0.1154
Level 0.90 $0.1217
Level 0.95 $0.1280
Level 1.00 $0.1342

📊 Mathematical Methodology

Plot Interpretation: This scatter plot visualizes POL28321's price relative to its 20-Week Simple Moving Average (SMA), represented by the dotted grey line. The underlying continuous price trend is visible in faint white, allowing you to toggle individual risk level overlays via the legend without losing structural context.

Risk Normalization (Winsorized): Risk levels are mathematically derived by measuring both the linear and proportional distance between the current price and the 20-week SMA. To prevent extreme flash-crashes (e.g., the March 2020 wick) from permanently distorting the scale, the algorithm uses Percentile Winsorization. We clip the absolute extremes at the 2nd and 98th percentiles, ensuring that structural multi-month cycle lows accurately map to deep-value zones (Risk 0.0).

Target Math: The Risk Table uses an exact algebraic reversal of the hybrid scale against today's 20-week SMA, calculating down to the dollar what POL28321's price must hit today to trigger a specific risk rating.