Pendle against its 20-week moving average: risk level

PENDLE Risk Matrix

$1.5933 | Risk: 0.32

INDICATOR: 20-WEEK SMA
LAST UPDATE: 2026-11-09 16:55 UTC

📈 PENDLE Logarithmic Price vs Global Risk Bands

🎯 Algorithmic Risk Price Targets

Target Risk Level Required Price (USD)
Level 0.00 $0.1604
Level 0.05 $0.3842
Level 0.10 $0.6080
Level 0.15 $0.8317
Level 0.20 $1.0555
Level 0.25 $1.2793
Level 0.30 $1.5031
Level 0.35 $1.7268
Level 0.40 $1.9506
Level 0.45 $2.1744
Level 0.50 $2.3981
Level 0.55 $2.6219
Level 0.60 $2.8457
Level 0.65 $3.0694
Level 0.70 $3.2932
Level 0.75 $3.5170
Level 0.80 $3.7408
Level 0.85 $3.9645
Level 0.90 $4.1883
Level 0.95 $4.4121
Level 1.00 $4.6358

📊 Mathematical Methodology

Plot Interpretation: This scatter plot visualizes PENDLE's price relative to its 20-Week Simple Moving Average (SMA), represented by the dotted grey line. The underlying continuous price trend is visible in faint white, allowing you to toggle individual risk level overlays via the legend without losing structural context.

Risk Normalization (Winsorized): Risk levels are mathematically derived by measuring both the linear and proportional distance between the current price and the 20-week SMA. To prevent extreme flash-crashes (e.g., the March 2020 wick) from permanently distorting the scale, the algorithm uses Percentile Winsorization. We clip the absolute extremes at the 2nd and 98th percentiles, ensuring that structural multi-month cycle lows accurately map to deep-value zones (Risk 0.0).

Target Math: The Risk Table uses an exact algebraic reversal of the hybrid scale against today's 20-week SMA, calculating down to the dollar what PENDLE's price must hit today to trigger a specific risk rating.