Neo against its 20-week moving average: risk level

NEO Risk Matrix

$1.8411 | Risk: 0.46

INDICATOR: 20-WEEK SMA
LAST UPDATE: 2026-11-09 16:55 UTC

📈 NEO Logarithmic Price vs Global Risk Bands

🎯 Algorithmic Risk Price Targets

Target Risk Level Required Price (USD)
Level 0.00 $-0.8461
Level 0.05 $-0.5554
Level 0.10 $-0.2646
Level 0.15 $0.0262
Level 0.20 $0.3169
Level 0.25 $0.6077
Level 0.30 $0.8985
Level 0.35 $1.1892
Level 0.40 $1.4800
Level 0.45 $1.7708
Level 0.50 $2.0615
Level 0.55 $2.3523
Level 0.60 $2.6431
Level 0.65 $2.9339
Level 0.70 $3.2246
Level 0.75 $3.5154
Level 0.80 $3.8062
Level 0.85 $4.0969
Level 0.90 $4.3877
Level 0.95 $4.6785
Level 1.00 $4.9692

📊 Mathematical Methodology

Plot Interpretation: This scatter plot visualizes NEO's price relative to its 20-Week Simple Moving Average (SMA), represented by the dotted grey line. The underlying continuous price trend is visible in faint white, allowing you to toggle individual risk level overlays via the legend without losing structural context.

Risk Normalization (Winsorized): Risk levels are mathematically derived by measuring both the linear and proportional distance between the current price and the 20-week SMA. To prevent extreme flash-crashes (e.g., the March 2020 wick) from permanently distorting the scale, the algorithm uses Percentile Winsorization. We clip the absolute extremes at the 2nd and 98th percentiles, ensuring that structural multi-month cycle lows accurately map to deep-value zones (Risk 0.0).

Target Math: The Risk Table uses an exact algebraic reversal of the hybrid scale against today's 20-week SMA, calculating down to the dollar what NEO's price must hit today to trigger a specific risk rating.