Maker against its 20-week moving average: risk level

MKR Risk Matrix

$1,435.9374 | Risk: 0.26

INDICATOR: 20-WEEK SMA
LAST UPDATE: 2026-11-09 16:54 UTC

📈 MKR Logarithmic Price vs Global Risk Bands

🎯 Algorithmic Risk Price Targets

Target Risk Level Required Price (USD)
Level 0.00 $827.9707
Level 0.05 $943.4913
Level 0.10 $1,059.0120
Level 0.15 $1,174.5326
Level 0.20 $1,290.0532
Level 0.25 $1,405.5739
Level 0.30 $1,521.0945
Level 0.35 $1,636.6151
Level 0.40 $1,752.1358
Level 0.45 $1,867.6564
Level 0.50 $1,983.1771
Level 0.55 $2,098.6977
Level 0.60 $2,214.2183
Level 0.65 $2,329.7390
Level 0.70 $2,445.2596
Level 0.75 $2,560.7802
Level 0.80 $2,676.3009
Level 0.85 $2,791.8215
Level 0.90 $2,907.3422
Level 0.95 $3,022.8628
Level 1.00 $3,138.3834

📊 Mathematical Methodology

Plot Interpretation: This scatter plot visualizes MKR's price relative to its 20-Week Simple Moving Average (SMA), represented by the dotted grey line. The underlying continuous price trend is visible in faint white, allowing you to toggle individual risk level overlays via the legend without losing structural context.

Risk Normalization (Winsorized): Risk levels are mathematically derived by measuring both the linear and proportional distance between the current price and the 20-week SMA. To prevent extreme flash-crashes (e.g., the March 2020 wick) from permanently distorting the scale, the algorithm uses Percentile Winsorization. We clip the absolute extremes at the 2nd and 98th percentiles, ensuring that structural multi-month cycle lows accurately map to deep-value zones (Risk 0.0).

Target Math: The Risk Table uses an exact algebraic reversal of the hybrid scale against today's 20-week SMA, calculating down to the dollar what MKR's price must hit today to trigger a specific risk rating.