LPT Risk Matrix

$1.5963 | Risk: 0.30

INDICATOR: 20-WEEK SMA
LAST UPDATE: 2026-09-18 23:55 UTC

📈 LPT Logarithmic Price vs Global Risk Bands

🎯 Algorithmic Risk Price Targets

Target Risk Level Required Price (USD)
Level 0.00 $-0.5329
Level 0.05 $-0.1763
Level 0.10 $0.1803
Level 0.15 $0.5369
Level 0.20 $0.8935
Level 0.25 $1.2501
Level 0.30 $1.6067
Level 0.35 $1.9633
Level 0.40 $2.3199
Level 0.45 $2.6765
Level 0.50 $3.0331
Level 0.55 $3.3897
Level 0.60 $3.7462
Level 0.65 $4.1028
Level 0.70 $4.4594
Level 0.75 $4.8160
Level 0.80 $5.1726
Level 0.85 $5.5292
Level 0.90 $5.8858
Level 0.95 $6.2424
Level 1.00 $6.5990

📊 Mathematical Methodology

Plot Interpretation: This scatter plot visualizes LPT's price relative to its 20-Week Simple Moving Average (SMA), represented by the dotted grey line. The underlying continuous price trend is visible in faint white, allowing you to toggle individual risk level overlays via the legend without losing structural context.

Risk Normalization (Winsorized): Risk levels are mathematically derived by measuring both the linear and proportional distance between the current price and the 20-week SMA. To prevent extreme flash-crashes (e.g., the March 2020 wick) from permanently distorting the scale, the algorithm uses Percentile Winsorization. We clip the absolute extremes at the 2nd and 98th percentiles, ensuring that structural multi-month cycle lows accurately map to deep-value zones (Risk 0.0).

Target Math: The Risk Table uses an exact algebraic reversal of the hybrid scale against today's 20-week SMA, calculating down to the dollar what LPT's price must hit today to trigger a specific risk rating.