KAS Risk Matrix

$0.0377 | Risk: 0.38

INDICATOR: 20-WEEK SMA
LAST UPDATE: 2026-09-18 23:54 UTC

📈 KAS Logarithmic Price vs Global Risk Bands

🎯 Algorithmic Risk Price Targets

Target Risk Level Required Price (USD)
Level 0.00 $0.0044
Level 0.05 $0.0088
Level 0.10 $0.0131
Level 0.15 $0.0175
Level 0.20 $0.0219
Level 0.25 $0.0262
Level 0.30 $0.0306
Level 0.35 $0.0349
Level 0.40 $0.0393
Level 0.45 $0.0437
Level 0.50 $0.0480
Level 0.55 $0.0524
Level 0.60 $0.0567
Level 0.65 $0.0611
Level 0.70 $0.0655
Level 0.75 $0.0698
Level 0.80 $0.0742
Level 0.85 $0.0785
Level 0.90 $0.0829
Level 0.95 $0.0872
Level 1.00 $0.0916

📊 Mathematical Methodology

Plot Interpretation: This scatter plot visualizes KAS's price relative to its 20-Week Simple Moving Average (SMA), represented by the dotted grey line. The underlying continuous price trend is visible in faint white, allowing you to toggle individual risk level overlays via the legend without losing structural context.

Risk Normalization (Winsorized): Risk levels are mathematically derived by measuring both the linear and proportional distance between the current price and the 20-week SMA. To prevent extreme flash-crashes (e.g., the March 2020 wick) from permanently distorting the scale, the algorithm uses Percentile Winsorization. We clip the absolute extremes at the 2nd and 98th percentiles, ensuring that structural multi-month cycle lows accurately map to deep-value zones (Risk 0.0).

Target Math: The Risk Table uses an exact algebraic reversal of the hybrid scale against today's 20-week SMA, calculating down to the dollar what KAS's price must hit today to trigger a specific risk rating.