Description

This analysis provides a forecast of KAS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-06-14 0.019809 0.024022 0.028476 0.033498 0.038968 0.044713 0.051171
2026-06-21 0.012763 0.018358 0.024772 0.032485 0.041350 0.051082 0.062447
2026-06-28 0.009126 0.015435 0.023203 0.033033 0.044781 0.058070 0.073970
2026-07-05 0.006457 0.012996 0.021641 0.033099 0.047249 0.063647 0.083635
2026-07-12 0.004597 0.011151 0.020453 0.033309 0.049636 0.068930 0.092797
2026-07-19 0.003054 0.009325 0.018973 0.032890 0.051051 0.072908 0.100310
2026-07-26 0.001736 0.007369 0.016974 0.031527 0.051080 0.075059 0.105528
2026-08-02 0.000979 0.006091 0.015759 0.031059 0.052121 0.078348 0.112027
2026-08-09 0.000557 0.005293 0.015161 0.031360 0.054098 0.082745 0.119830
2026-08-16 0.000282 0.004635 0.014682 0.031757 0.056149 0.087203 0.127685
2026-08-23 0.000142 0.004257 0.014635 0.032756 0.058989 0.092644 0.136742
2026-08-30 0.000056 0.003914 0.014593 0.033729 0.061775 0.098008 0.145703
2026-09-06 0.000042 0.004114 0.015694 0.036592 0.067321 0.107096 0.159518
2026-09-13 NaN 0.003187 0.014354 0.035544 0.067412 0.109179 0.164672
2026-09-20 NaN 0.002792 0.014058 0.036123 0.069759 0.114168 0.173448
2026-09-27 NaN 0.002328 0.013488 0.036192 0.071349 0.118151 0.180955
2026-10-04 NaN 0.001954 0.013037 0.036413 0.073126 0.122364 0.188743
2026-10-11 NaN 0.001508 0.012245 0.035973 0.073900 0.125225 0.194803
2026-10-18 NaN 0.000987 0.010963 0.034541 0.073133 0.125978 0.198136
2026-10-25 NaN 0.000694 0.010241 0.034048 0.073716 0.128507 0.203712
2026-11-01 NaN 0.000541 0.009965 0.034365 0.075506 0.132654 0.211360
2026-11-08 NaN 0.000422 0.009753 0.034782 0.077437 0.136989 0.219251
2026-11-15 NaN 0.000372 0.009865 0.035832 0.080342 0.142654 0.228866