IOTA against its 20-week moving average: risk level

IOTA Risk Matrix

$0.0348 | Risk: 0.28

INDICATOR: 20-WEEK SMA
LAST UPDATE: 2026-11-09 16:55 UTC

📈 IOTA Logarithmic Price vs Global Risk Bands

🎯 Algorithmic Risk Price Targets

Target Risk Level Required Price (USD)
Level 0.00 $0.009604
Level 0.05 $0.0141
Level 0.10 $0.0186
Level 0.15 $0.0231
Level 0.20 $0.0276
Level 0.25 $0.0321
Level 0.30 $0.0366
Level 0.35 $0.0412
Level 0.40 $0.0457
Level 0.45 $0.0502
Level 0.50 $0.0547
Level 0.55 $0.0592
Level 0.60 $0.0637
Level 0.65 $0.0682
Level 0.70 $0.0727
Level 0.75 $0.0772
Level 0.80 $0.0817
Level 0.85 $0.0862
Level 0.90 $0.0907
Level 0.95 $0.0952
Level 1.00 $0.0997

📊 Mathematical Methodology

Plot Interpretation: This scatter plot visualizes IOTA's price relative to its 20-Week Simple Moving Average (SMA), represented by the dotted grey line. The underlying continuous price trend is visible in faint white, allowing you to toggle individual risk level overlays via the legend without losing structural context.

Risk Normalization (Winsorized): Risk levels are mathematically derived by measuring both the linear and proportional distance between the current price and the 20-week SMA. To prevent extreme flash-crashes (e.g., the March 2020 wick) from permanently distorting the scale, the algorithm uses Percentile Winsorization. We clip the absolute extremes at the 2nd and 98th percentiles, ensuring that structural multi-month cycle lows accurately map to deep-value zones (Risk 0.0).

Target Math: The Risk Table uses an exact algebraic reversal of the hybrid scale against today's 20-week SMA, calculating down to the dollar what IOTA's price must hit today to trigger a specific risk rating.