HNT Risk Matrix

$0.4760 | Risk: 0.39

INDICATOR: 20-WEEK SMA
LAST UPDATE: 2026-09-18 23:54 UTC

📈 HNT Logarithmic Price vs Global Risk Bands

🎯 Algorithmic Risk Price Targets

Target Risk Level Required Price (USD)
Level 0.00 $-0.3958
Level 0.05 $-0.2853
Level 0.10 $-0.1748
Level 0.15 $-0.0642
Level 0.20 $0.0463
Level 0.25 $0.1568
Level 0.30 $0.2673
Level 0.35 $0.3779
Level 0.40 $0.4884
Level 0.45 $0.5989
Level 0.50 $0.7094
Level 0.55 $0.8199
Level 0.60 $0.9305
Level 0.65 $1.0410
Level 0.70 $1.1515
Level 0.75 $1.2620
Level 0.80 $1.3726
Level 0.85 $1.4831
Level 0.90 $1.5936
Level 0.95 $1.7041
Level 1.00 $1.8146

📊 Mathematical Methodology

Plot Interpretation: This scatter plot visualizes HNT's price relative to its 20-Week Simple Moving Average (SMA), represented by the dotted grey line. The underlying continuous price trend is visible in faint white, allowing you to toggle individual risk level overlays via the legend without losing structural context.

Risk Normalization (Winsorized): Risk levels are mathematically derived by measuring both the linear and proportional distance between the current price and the 20-week SMA. To prevent extreme flash-crashes (e.g., the March 2020 wick) from permanently distorting the scale, the algorithm uses Percentile Winsorization. We clip the absolute extremes at the 2nd and 98th percentiles, ensuring that structural multi-month cycle lows accurately map to deep-value zones (Risk 0.0).

Target Math: The Risk Table uses an exact algebraic reversal of the hybrid scale against today's 20-week SMA, calculating down to the dollar what HNT's price must hit today to trigger a specific risk rating.