Description

This analysis provides a forecast of HNT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-06-14 0.218457 0.242693 0.268700 0.298718 0.332451 0.369234 0.412445
2026-06-21 0.162395 0.195291 0.233770 0.282273 0.342027 0.413543 0.506086
2026-06-28 0.133395 0.170039 0.215721 0.277244 0.358527 0.463054 0.608963
2026-07-05 0.114704 0.153132 0.203537 0.275141 0.375291 0.511934 0.715129
2026-07-12 0.098895 0.137151 0.189487 0.267222 0.381293 0.544960 0.801935
2026-07-19 0.085319 0.122219 0.174545 0.255300 0.378836 0.564044 0.869110
2026-07-26 0.076808 0.113347 0.166905 0.252551 0.388755 0.601566 0.968386
2026-08-02 0.071967 0.109242 0.165627 0.258919 0.412941 0.663437 1.114841
2026-08-09 0.065893 0.102541 0.159542 0.256748 0.422697 0.702503 1.227461
2026-08-16 0.060160 0.095764 0.152569 0.252171 0.427548 0.733328 1.329052
2026-08-23 0.053859 0.087461 0.142287 0.240818 0.419152 0.739555 1.385332
2026-08-30 0.048819 0.080790 0.134081 0.232135 0.414354 0.751345 1.453307
2026-09-06 0.046205 0.078212 0.132939 0.236527 0.435270 0.815954 1.641511
2026-09-13 0.042311 0.073129 0.127084 0.231933 0.439183 0.849487 1.773848
2026-09-20 0.039170 0.069088 0.122688 0.229569 0.447136 0.892178 1.933642
2026-09-27 0.036507 0.065656 0.119051 0.228208 0.456833 0.939655 2.112515
2026-10-04 0.033491 0.061289 0.113230 0.221824 0.455210 0.962582 2.237882
2026-10-11 0.030393 0.056498 0.106158 0.212113 0.445226 0.965603 2.315270
2026-10-18 0.028446 0.053763 0.102849 0.209871 0.451310 1.005821 2.493607
2026-10-25 0.027460 0.052830 0.103033 0.215069 0.474765 1.089932 2.802798
2026-11-01 0.025852 0.050510 0.100177 0.213298 0.481818 1.135455 3.016270
2026-11-08 0.024197 0.047958 0.096615 0.209562 0.483714 1.168398 3.200837
2026-11-15 0.022185 0.044512 0.090882 0.200290 0.470993 1.162216 3.270286