HBAR Risk Matrix

$0.0792 | Risk: 0.28

INDICATOR: 20-WEEK SMA
LAST UPDATE: 2026-09-18 23:54 UTC

📈 HBAR Logarithmic Price vs Global Risk Bands

🎯 Algorithmic Risk Price Targets

Target Risk Level Required Price (USD)
Level 0.00 $0.0127
Level 0.05 $0.0245
Level 0.10 $0.0363
Level 0.15 $0.0482
Level 0.20 $0.0600
Level 0.25 $0.0718
Level 0.30 $0.0836
Level 0.35 $0.0954
Level 0.40 $0.1072
Level 0.45 $0.1191
Level 0.50 $0.1309
Level 0.55 $0.1427
Level 0.60 $0.1545
Level 0.65 $0.1663
Level 0.70 $0.1781
Level 0.75 $0.1900
Level 0.80 $0.2018
Level 0.85 $0.2136
Level 0.90 $0.2254
Level 0.95 $0.2372
Level 1.00 $0.2490

📊 Mathematical Methodology

Plot Interpretation: This scatter plot visualizes HBAR's price relative to its 20-Week Simple Moving Average (SMA), represented by the dotted grey line. The underlying continuous price trend is visible in faint white, allowing you to toggle individual risk level overlays via the legend without losing structural context.

Risk Normalization (Winsorized): Risk levels are mathematically derived by measuring both the linear and proportional distance between the current price and the 20-week SMA. To prevent extreme flash-crashes (e.g., the March 2020 wick) from permanently distorting the scale, the algorithm uses Percentile Winsorization. We clip the absolute extremes at the 2nd and 98th percentiles, ensuring that structural multi-month cycle lows accurately map to deep-value zones (Risk 0.0).

Target Math: The Risk Table uses an exact algebraic reversal of the hybrid scale against today's 20-week SMA, calculating down to the dollar what HBAR's price must hit today to trigger a specific risk rating.