GNO Risk Matrix

$119.5700 | Risk: 0.47

INDICATOR: 20-WEEK SMA
LAST UPDATE: 2026-09-18 23:55 UTC

📈 GNO Logarithmic Price vs Global Risk Bands

🎯 Algorithmic Risk Price Targets

Target Risk Level Required Price (USD)
Level 0.00 $26.0254
Level 0.05 $35.9640
Level 0.10 $45.9025
Level 0.15 $55.8411
Level 0.20 $65.7796
Level 0.25 $75.7182
Level 0.30 $85.6567
Level 0.35 $95.5953
Level 0.40 $105.5338
Level 0.45 $115.4724
Level 0.50 $125.4109
Level 0.55 $135.3495
Level 0.60 $145.2880
Level 0.65 $155.2265
Level 0.70 $165.1651
Level 0.75 $175.1036
Level 0.80 $185.0422
Level 0.85 $194.9807
Level 0.90 $204.9193
Level 0.95 $214.8578
Level 1.00 $224.7964

📊 Mathematical Methodology

Plot Interpretation: This scatter plot visualizes GNO's price relative to its 20-Week Simple Moving Average (SMA), represented by the dotted grey line. The underlying continuous price trend is visible in faint white, allowing you to toggle individual risk level overlays via the legend without losing structural context.

Risk Normalization (Winsorized): Risk levels are mathematically derived by measuring both the linear and proportional distance between the current price and the 20-week SMA. To prevent extreme flash-crashes (e.g., the March 2020 wick) from permanently distorting the scale, the algorithm uses Percentile Winsorization. We clip the absolute extremes at the 2nd and 98th percentiles, ensuring that structural multi-month cycle lows accurately map to deep-value zones (Risk 0.0).

Target Math: The Risk Table uses an exact algebraic reversal of the hybrid scale against today's 20-week SMA, calculating down to the dollar what GNO's price must hit today to trigger a specific risk rating.