Description

This analysis provides a forecast of GNO prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-06-14 68.005907 77.555222 87.500948 98.593830 110.582118 123.110514 137.155937
2026-06-21 52.837424 66.588200 81.812366 99.740224 120.099526 142.336676 168.295611
2026-06-28 42.220666 58.065078 76.539732 99.266027 126.074072 156.321369 192.658456
2026-07-05 34.710905 51.716035 72.481046 98.993054 131.257159 168.612030 214.493642
2026-07-12 29.451152 47.255083 69.920381 99.807827 137.144962 181.295668 236.495377
2026-07-19 23.792242 41.427285 64.905777 96.917043 137.973384 187.537744 250.573068
2026-07-26 20.320253 38.089246 62.695701 97.208138 142.442892 197.971549 269.555147
2026-08-02 17.476408 35.247916 60.814831 97.639305 146.872322 208.223444 288.267659
2026-08-09 15.755263 33.865262 60.777408 100.397875 154.225356 222.107296 311.510792
2026-08-16 13.354110 31.053141 58.403551 99.716105 156.885165 229.960896 327.224220
2026-08-23 11.152577 28.235154 55.741355 98.389336 158.498255 236.355035 341.044795
2026-08-30 9.081916 25.298537 52.608310 96.134272 158.650335 240.718504 352.205356
2026-09-06 8.321621 24.733240 53.202341 99.384819 166.509665 255.365336 376.834652
2026-09-13 7.257439 23.396666 52.426365 100.521182 171.407786 266.155153 396.620758
2026-09-20 6.072670 21.580824 50.676540 100.041802 173.935300 273.753514 412.287124
2026-09-27 5.084361 19.984012 49.141855 99.766954 176.669248 281.590230 428.275665
2026-10-04 4.370761 18.872816 48.353819 100.585864 180.941295 291.506369 447.041872
2026-10-11 3.341145 16.678271 45.363841 97.680060 179.610159 293.673968 455.501545
2026-10-18 2.791110 15.613195 44.384775 97.972671 182.963909 302.270359 472.541847
2026-10-25 2.329901 14.664099 43.533034 98.406083 186.490242 311.103226 489.936236
2026-11-01 2.109385 14.419335 44.065886 101.178941 193.582029 324.964130 514.185058
2026-11-08 1.673368 13.275783 42.635550 100.493652 195.335131 331.308839 528.292752
2026-11-15 1.272462 12.053700 40.897931 99.160012 196.008153 336.082741 540.257905