FTM Risk Matrix

$0.6977 | Risk: 0.29

INDICATOR: 20-WEEK SMA
LAST UPDATE: 2026-09-15 15:54 UTC

📈 FTM Logarithmic Price vs Global Risk Bands

🎯 Algorithmic Risk Price Targets

Target Risk Level Required Price (USD)
Level 0.00 $-0.0107
Level 0.05 $0.1098
Level 0.10 $0.2302
Level 0.15 $0.3506
Level 0.20 $0.4710
Level 0.25 $0.5914
Level 0.30 $0.7119
Level 0.35 $0.8323
Level 0.40 $0.9527
Level 0.45 $1.0731
Level 0.50 $1.1935
Level 0.55 $1.3140
Level 0.60 $1.4344
Level 0.65 $1.5548
Level 0.70 $1.6752
Level 0.75 $1.7956
Level 0.80 $1.9161
Level 0.85 $2.0365
Level 0.90 $2.1569
Level 0.95 $2.2773
Level 1.00 $2.3977

📊 Mathematical Methodology

Plot Interpretation: This scatter plot visualizes FTM's price relative to its 20-Week Simple Moving Average (SMA), represented by the dotted grey line. The underlying continuous price trend is visible in faint white, allowing you to toggle individual risk level overlays via the legend without losing structural context.

Risk Normalization (Winsorized): Risk levels are mathematically derived by measuring both the linear and proportional distance between the current price and the 20-week SMA. To prevent extreme flash-crashes (e.g., the March 2020 wick) from permanently distorting the scale, the algorithm uses Percentile Winsorization. We clip the absolute extremes at the 2nd and 98th percentiles, ensuring that structural multi-month cycle lows accurately map to deep-value zones (Risk 0.0).

Target Math: The Risk Table uses an exact algebraic reversal of the hybrid scale against today's 20-week SMA, calculating down to the dollar what FTM's price must hit today to trigger a specific risk rating.