FLOW Risk Matrix

$0.0302 | Risk: 0.70

INDICATOR: 20-WEEK SMA
LAST UPDATE: 2026-09-18 23:55 UTC

📈 FLOW Logarithmic Price vs Global Risk Bands

🎯 Algorithmic Risk Price Targets

Target Risk Level Required Price (USD)
Level 0.00 $-0.0248
Level 0.05 $-0.0209
Level 0.10 $-0.0170
Level 0.15 $-0.0131
Level 0.20 $-0.0092
Level 0.25 $-0.0052
Level 0.30 $-0.0013
Level 0.35 $0.0026
Level 0.40 $0.0065
Level 0.45 $0.0104
Level 0.50 $0.0143
Level 0.55 $0.0183
Level 0.60 $0.0222
Level 0.65 $0.0261
Level 0.70 $0.0300
Level 0.75 $0.0339
Level 0.80 $0.0378
Level 0.85 $0.0418
Level 0.90 $0.0457
Level 0.95 $0.0496
Level 1.00 $0.0535

📊 Mathematical Methodology

Plot Interpretation: This scatter plot visualizes FLOW's price relative to its 20-Week Simple Moving Average (SMA), represented by the dotted grey line. The underlying continuous price trend is visible in faint white, allowing you to toggle individual risk level overlays via the legend without losing structural context.

Risk Normalization (Winsorized): Risk levels are mathematically derived by measuring both the linear and proportional distance between the current price and the 20-week SMA. To prevent extreme flash-crashes (e.g., the March 2020 wick) from permanently distorting the scale, the algorithm uses Percentile Winsorization. We clip the absolute extremes at the 2nd and 98th percentiles, ensuring that structural multi-month cycle lows accurately map to deep-value zones (Risk 0.0).

Target Math: The Risk Table uses an exact algebraic reversal of the hybrid scale against today's 20-week SMA, calculating down to the dollar what FLOW's price must hit today to trigger a specific risk rating.