Description

This analysis provides a forecast of FLOW prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-06-14 0.020727 0.023116 0.025673 0.028615 0.031908 0.035482 0.039658
2026-06-21 0.017232 0.020572 0.024405 0.029133 0.034818 0.041444 0.049768
2026-06-28 0.015012 0.018870 0.023536 0.029607 0.037318 0.046811 0.059425
2026-07-05 0.012930 0.016946 0.022014 0.028901 0.038047 0.049824 0.066212
2026-07-12 0.011161 0.015155 0.020385 0.027759 0.037935 0.051554 0.071276
2026-07-19 0.009686 0.013571 0.018823 0.026475 0.037401 0.052532 0.075236
2026-07-26 0.008811 0.012704 0.018125 0.026266 0.038260 0.055405 0.081994
2026-08-02 0.007847 0.011613 0.016998 0.025308 0.037908 0.056448 0.086078
2026-08-09 0.007249 0.010993 0.016484 0.025182 0.038731 0.059221 0.092921
2026-08-16 0.006617 0.010266 0.015743 0.024631 0.038828 0.060856 0.098069
2026-08-23 0.006091 0.009655 0.015125 0.024205 0.039062 0.062680 0.103613
2026-08-30 0.005425 0.008770 0.014009 0.022891 0.037747 0.061901 0.104760
2026-09-06 0.005156 0.008513 0.013887 0.023205 0.039163 0.065744 0.114127
2026-09-13 0.004915 0.008283 0.013790 0.023552 0.040661 0.069842 0.124301
2026-09-20 0.004699 0.008077 0.013713 0.023918 0.042211 0.074132 0.135166
2026-09-27 0.004338 0.007593 0.013128 0.023349 0.042054 0.075396 0.140596
2026-10-04 0.003953 0.007040 0.012383 0.022434 0.041190 0.075304 0.143456
2026-10-11 0.003587 0.006493 0.011608 0.021404 0.040030 0.074566 0.144986
2026-10-18 0.003382 0.006224 0.011313 0.021236 0.040466 0.076828 0.152535
2026-10-25 0.003108 0.005809 0.010724 0.020468 0.039690 0.076706 0.155293
2026-11-01 0.002948 0.005596 0.010493 0.020367 0.040197 0.079100 0.163345
2026-11-08 0.002756 0.005309 0.010103 0.019924 0.039989 0.080052 0.168458
2026-11-15 0.002591 0.005063 0.009775 0.019583 0.039957 0.081346 0.174389